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Violent Crime Trends in Hancock, Michigan: A Decade of Stability Amidst Growth
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Hancock, located in Michigan, presents an intriguing case study in violent crime trends. From 2011 to 2022, the total number of violent crimes fluctuated, with a peak of 9 incidents in 2015 and a low of 2 incidents in both 2011 and 2022. This represents a 0% change over the period, despite population growth from 5,212 in 2011 to 5,360 in 2022, an increase of 2.84%.
Examining murder trends, Hancock has maintained a consistent record of zero murders from 2011 to 2022. This stability is noteworthy, especially considering the population growth. The murder rate per 1,000 people has remained at 0 throughout this period, and the city has consistently contributed 0% to the state's murder statistics. This absence of murders speaks to the relative safety of the community in terms of lethal violence.
Rape incidents have shown variability over the years. The highest number of reported rapes was 5 in both 2015 and 2016, while no rapes were reported in 2012 and 2022. The rape rate per 1,000 people peaked at 0.93 in 2015 and dropped to 0 in 2022. The city's contribution to state rape statistics fluctuated, reaching a high of 0.17% in 2015 and falling to 0% in 2022. This trend suggests improvements in sexual violence prevention or reporting practices in recent years.
Robbery has been a rare occurrence in the city. Only two robberies were reported over the 12-year period: one in 2012 and another in 2017. The robbery rate per 1,000 people never exceeded 0.19 (in 2017). The city's contribution to state robbery statistics peaked at 0.02% in 2017 but remained at 0% for most years. This low incidence of robbery indicates a generally safe environment for personal property.
Aggravated assault trends show more variation. The number of incidents ranged from 0 to 6, with the highest count occurring in 2018 and 2021. The aggravated assault rate per 1,000 people peaked at 1.10 in 2018. The city's contribution to state aggravated assault statistics reached a maximum of 0.03% in 2018. These fluctuations suggest periodic spikes in violent confrontations, though the overall numbers remain relatively low.
A notable correlation exists between violent crime trends and population density. As the population density increased from 1,875 per square mile in 2011 to 1,928 per square mile in 2022, there was a slight uptick in violent crimes, particularly aggravated assaults. This suggests that increased population density may contribute to more interpersonal conflicts.
Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029), we anticipate a potential slight decrease in overall violent crimes. The model suggests that rape incidents may continue to decline, while aggravated assaults could stabilize around 3-4 incidents per year. Robbery is expected to remain rare, with possibly one incident every few years. The murder rate is projected to remain at zero, maintaining the city's record of no homicides.
In summary, Hancock has experienced relatively low and stable violent crime rates over the past decade, with some fluctuations in specific categories. The most significant changes have been in rape and aggravated assault incidents, while murders have remained non-existent, and robberies rare. The correlation between population density and violent crime, particularly aggravated assaults, suggests a need for community-based conflict resolution strategies as the city continues to grow. Overall, the trends indicate a generally safe community with opportunities for further improvement in violence prevention and public safety measures.
