Robbery trends in the city have been inconsistent. The number of robberies peaked at 4 in 2011, dropped to 0 in several years (2012, 2015, 2017, and 2022), and showed sporadic occurrences in between. The robbery rate per 1,000 people reached its highest at 0.91 in 2011 and its lowest at 0 in the years with no reported cases. The city's contribution to the state's robbery cases has been minimal, never exceeding 0.1% throughout the period. This suggests that while robbery is not a persistent problem, occasional spikes warrant attention.

Aggravated assault has been the most prevalent violent crime in Hanceville. The number of cases peaked at 19 in 2011 and reached its lowest point of 1 in 2018. In 2022, there were 9 reported cases. The rate per 1,000 people has fluctuated accordingly, from a high of 4.33 in 2011 to a low of 0.23 in 2018, and 2.05 in 2022. The city's contribution to the state's aggravated assault cases has varied, peaking at 0.19% in 2011 and dropping to 0.01% in 2018, before rising slightly to 0.08% in 2022. This trend indicates that while progress has been made in reducing aggravated assaults, it remains an area of concern for law enforcement and community safety initiatives.

Examining correlations, there appears to be a relationship between population density and violent crime rates. As the population density increased from 976 per square mile in 2010 to 996 per square mile in 2022, the overall violent crime rate showed some fluctuations but generally trended downward. This suggests that the city has managed to maintain or improve public safety despite increasing density.

Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends, it's estimated that by 2029 (five years from now), Hanceville could see a slight decrease in overall violent crime rates if current trends continue. The model suggests that aggravated assaults may stabilize around 7-8 cases per year, while rape and robbery incidents could remain low, possibly averaging 1-2 cases annually. The murder rate is predicted to remain at zero, maintaining the city's record in this area.

In summary, Hanceville has shown resilience in managing violent crime over the past decade. Despite population growth, the city has maintained low crime rates in most categories, with notable success in preventing homicides. While fluctuations in rape and aggravated assault rates indicate areas for continued focus, the overall trend suggests a community effectively addressing public safety concerns. As Hanceville continues to grow, maintaining these positive trends will be crucial for the city's future development and the well-being of its residents.