Loading Content...
Violent Crime Trends in Halstead, Kansas: A Decade of Fluctuations
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Halstead, located in Kansas, presents an interesting case study in violent crime trends. Over the period from 2011 to 2022, the city experienced fluctuations in both its violent crime rates and population. The total number of violent crimes varied from a low of 0 in 2020 to a high of 11 in 2021, while the population grew from 2,339 in 2011 to 2,356 in 2022, representing a modest increase of 0.73% over this timeframe.
Regarding murder trends, Halstead has maintained a consistent record of zero murders from 2011 to 2022. This statistic remains unchanged despite population fluctuations, resulting in a consistent murder rate of 0 per 1,000 residents. The city's contribution to the state's murder rate has also remained at 0% throughout this period, indicating a notably safe environment in terms of homicides.
Rape incidents in the city have been sporadic. The data shows only two reported cases in 2015 and one in 2016, with no reported cases in other years. This translates to a rate of 0.85 rapes per 1,000 residents in 2015 and 0.43 per 1,000 in 2016. The city's contribution to the state's rape statistics peaked at 0.15% in 2015, dropping to 0.11% in 2016, and remaining at 0% in other years. These figures suggest that while rape is not a persistent issue, isolated incidents have occurred.
Robbery in Halstead has been extremely rare, with only one reported case in 2017. This single incident equates to a rate of 0.41 robberies per 1,000 residents for that year and represented 0.08% of the state's total robberies. The absence of robberies in other years indicates that this type of crime is not a significant concern for the community.
Aggravated assault has been the most prevalent form of violent crime in the city. The number of cases fluctuated from a low of 0 in 2020 to a high of 11 in 2021. The rate per 1,000 residents ranged from 0 to 4.3, with the highest rate occurring in 2021. The city's contribution to the state's aggravated assault cases varied significantly, peaking at 0.36% in 2021 and dropping to 0.03% in 2022. This volatility suggests that while aggravated assault is the primary violent crime concern, its occurrence is inconsistent.
Examining correlations, there appears to be a relationship between population density and violent crime rates. For instance, the peak in violent crimes in 2021 (11 cases) coincided with the highest population density of 1,893 people per square mile. Additionally, there seems to be a weak correlation between median rent and violent crime rates, with years of higher median rent (such as 2021 and 2022) showing more variable crime rates.
Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029), we anticipate a continuation of the current pattern of low but fluctuating violent crime rates. Based on historical data, we might expect an average of 2-3 violent crimes per year, with the possibility of occasional spikes similar to the one observed in 2021. However, given the city's overall low crime rate, significant increases are not anticipated.
In summary, Halstead demonstrates a generally low violent crime rate with occasional fluctuations. The absence of murders, rare occurrences of rape and robbery, and the predominance of aggravated assault as the main violent crime type characterize the city's crime landscape. The correlation between population density and crime rates suggests that community dynamics play a role in crime occurrences. Moving forward, while the city should remain vigilant, the overall trend indicates a relatively safe environment with manageable levels of violent crime.
