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Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Hallsville, located in Missouri, presents an interesting case study in violent crime trends. From 2010 to 2017, the total number of violent crimes fluctuated, with a peak of 6 incidents in 2015 and a low of 0 in 2011 and 2017. Over this period, the population grew from 1,945 in 2010 to 2,214 in 2017, an increase of 13.8%. This analysis will delve into the specific violent crime categories and their trends in relation to population growth and other factors.
Regarding murder and nonnegligent manslaughter, Hallsville maintained a consistent record of zero incidents from 2010 to 2017. This statistic remained unchanged despite the population growth, resulting in a consistent rate of 0 per 1,000 residents. The percentage of state crime for this category also remained at 0% throughout the period, indicating that the city did not contribute to Missouri's murder statistics during these years.
Rape incidents in the city were rare, with only one reported case in 2010. This single incident represented 0.09% of the state's total rape cases that year. The rate per 1,000 residents was approximately 0.51 in 2010. In subsequent years, from 2011 to 2017, no rape incidents were reported, effectively reducing the rate to 0 per 1,000 residents and 0% of state crime for this category.
Robbery trends in Hallsville showed minimal activity. The only reported robbery occurred in 2013, accounting for 0.02% of the state's robbery cases that year. With a population of 1,980 in 2013, this single incident translated to a rate of about 0.51 robberies per 1,000 residents. In all other years from 2010 to 2017, the robbery rate remained at 0 per 1,000 residents.
Aggravated assault was the most prevalent form of violent crime in the city. The number of incidents varied significantly year to year, with peaks of 6 cases in 2015 and 3 cases in 2012. In 2015, when the population was 1,997, the rate of aggravated assault reached approximately 3 per 1,000 residents, accounting for 0.04% of the state's total. The lowest points were in 2011 and 2017, with no reported cases. This fluctuation suggests inconsistent patterns in aggravated assault occurrences within the community.
Examining correlations between violent crime trends and other factors, there appears to be a weak relationship between population density and violent crime rates. As the population density increased from 1,218 per square mile in 2010 to 1,387 in 2017, violent crime rates did not show a consistent corresponding increase. Median rent data is limited, but available figures don't suggest a strong correlation with crime rates.
Regarding race distribution, the city maintained a predominantly white population throughout the period, with percentages ranging from 89% to 98% between 2013 and 2022. The low diversity and minimal changes in racial composition during the years with available crime data make it difficult to establish any significant correlations between race distribution and violent crime trends.
Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) is challenging due to the limited and inconsistent data available. However, based on the historical patterns, it's reasonable to expect that Hallsville will continue to experience low levels of violent crime overall, with aggravated assault potentially remaining the most common type of violent offense. The city may see sporadic incidents rather than consistent year-over-year trends.
In summary, Hallsville has maintained relatively low violent crime rates from 2010 to 2017, with aggravated assault being the primary concern. The absence of murders and the rarity of rape and robbery incidents during this period reflect positively on the city's safety. While there were fluctuations in aggravated assault cases, the overall violent crime rate remained low compared to state averages. The city's steady population growth does not appear to have significantly impacted violent crime trends, suggesting that other factors may play a more influential role in the occurrence of these incidents in Hallsville.