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Violent Crime Trends in Grandview Plaza: A Small Kansas City's Fluctuating Safety Landscape
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Grandview Plaza, a small city in Kansas, presents an intriguing case study in violent crime trends. From 2010 to 2021, the total number of violent crimes fluctuated significantly, with a notable increase from 3 incidents in 2013 to 20 in 2020, representing a 566.67% rise. However, this trend was not linear, with substantial variations year to year. The population also experienced fluctuations, growing from 1,336 in 2010 to a peak of 2,679 in 2016, before declining to 2,018 in 2021, an overall growth of 51.05% over the period.
Murder rates in the city have remained consistently at zero from 2010 to 2021, indicating no murders per 1,000 people throughout this period. This statistic has held steady despite population fluctuations, suggesting a relatively safe environment in terms of homicides. The percentage of state crime for murder has consequently remained at 0% throughout the analyzed timeframe.
Rape incidents have shown variability over the years. The highest number of reported rapes was 4 in 2016, translating to 1.49 incidents per 1,000 people. The percentage of state crime for rape peaked at 0.67% in 2020, with 3 reported cases. Despite these fluctuations, the overall trend does not show a consistent increase or decrease, with years of no reported rapes (2011, 2017) interspersed with years of 1-4 incidents. The rate per 1,000 people has remained relatively low, never exceeding 1.57 (in 2016).
Robbery trends in the city have been minimal. Only two years, 2014 and 2015, saw any robbery incidents, with 2 and 1 cases respectively. This translates to rates of 0.81 and 0.39 per 1,000 people for those years. The percentage of state crime for robbery peaked at 0.31% in 2014. The absence of robberies in most years suggests this is not a significant ongoing concern for the community.
Aggravated assault has been the most prevalent form of violent crime in the city. The number of incidents peaked at 17 in both 2019 and 2020, representing rates of 11.76 and 9.82 per 1,000 people respectively. The percentage of state crime for aggravated assault reached its highest at 0.61% in 2020. There has been a general upward trend in aggravated assaults from 2010 to 2020, with some year-to-year fluctuations, before dropping to 7 incidents in 2021.
Examining correlations, there appears to be a moderate positive relationship between population density and violent crime rates. As the population density increased from 1,577 per square mile in 2010 to a peak of 3,164 in 2016, violent crime incidents also tended to increase, though not uniformly. The racial distribution shows some correlation with crime trends, particularly the proportion of white residents, which decreased from 66% in 2013 to 51% in 2017, coinciding with periods of higher violent crime rates. However, this correlation is not consistent throughout the entire period.
Applying predictive models based on the available data, it's projected that by 2029, the city may experience a slight increase in violent crime incidents, potentially reaching around 22-25 annual cases if current trends continue. This projection assumes a continuation of the overall upward trend observed in recent years, particularly in aggravated assaults.
In summary, Grandview Plaza has experienced fluctuating violent crime rates, with aggravated assault being the primary concern. The absence of murders and low robbery rates are positive indicators, while rape incidents have shown variability. The relationship between population density, racial demographics, and crime rates suggests complex dynamics at play in this small Kansas community. As the city continues to evolve, monitoring these trends will be crucial for maintaining public safety and community well-being.
