Robbery incidents in the city have been sporadic. There was one reported robbery in 2016 and 2017, accounting for 0.02% of the state's robberies in each of those years. The robbery rate per 1,000 people was 0.37 in 2016 and 0.38 in 2017. Since then, no robberies have been reported, indicating a positive trend in this category of violent crime.

Aggravated assault has shown the most consistent presence among violent crimes in the city. The number of aggravated assaults increased from 0 in 2015 to 5 in 2017, then 7 in 2018, before decreasing to 5 in 2021 and 2 in 2022. The rate per 1,000 people peaked at 2.80 in 2018 and decreased to 0.72 in 2022. The city's contribution to the state's total aggravated assaults has fluctuated, reaching 0.09% in 2018 and dropping to 0.02% in 2022.

There appears to be a correlation between the city's changing racial demographics and violent crime trends. As the Black population percentage increased from 37% in 2013 to 52% in 2018, violent crimes also saw an uptick. However, as the White population percentage began to increase again from 2019 onwards, reaching 52% in 2022, violent crime rates showed a slight decline.

Applying predictive models based on the available data, we can forecast that violent crime in Gordon may continue to fluctuate but is likely to remain relatively low. By 2029, five years from now, the city might expect to see an average of 3-5 violent crimes per year, with aggravated assaults potentially remaining the most common type of violent offense.

In summary, Gordon has experienced varying trends in violent crime over the past decade. While murder rates spiked unexpectedly in 2022, robbery incidents have decreased, and aggravated assaults have shown fluctuations. The city's changing demographic composition appears to have some correlation with these crime trends. Moving forward, maintaining vigilance and implementing targeted crime prevention strategies will be crucial for the city to manage and potentially reduce its violent crime rates.