Robbery trends mirrored those of rape. The city reported 3 robberies in 2015, or 1.20 per 1,000 residents, accounting for 0.08% of Alabama's total robberies. In 2016, robberies dropped to zero, representing a 100% decrease and eliminating Goodwater's contribution to state robbery figures.

Aggravated assault, the most prevalent form of violent crime in Goodwater, saw a slight decrease. In 2015, there were 7 reported cases, or 2.80 per 1,000 residents, constituting 0.06% of the state's total. In 2016, this number decreased to 6 cases, or 2.54 per 1,000 residents, maintaining a similar 0.05% of the state's total. This represents a 14.29% decrease in aggravated assaults.

Examining correlations, there appears to be a relationship between the decrease in violent crime and changes in population density. As the population density decreased from 384 per square mile in 2015 to 363 in 2016, violent crime also declined. Additionally, the racial composition shifted slightly, with the Black population increasing from 69% to 76% and the White population decreasing from 31% to 24% during this period.

Applying predictive models based on the limited data available, we can cautiously forecast that if current trends continue, Goodwater may see a further reduction in violent crimes over the next five years (up to 2029). The city could potentially maintain its zero murder and robbery rates, while aggravated assaults might continue to decrease slightly.

In summary, Goodwater experienced a significant overall reduction in violent crime from 2015 to 2016, with notable improvements in rape and robbery rates, and a slight decrease in aggravated assaults. The absence of murders in both years is a positive indicator for public safety. These trends, coupled with demographic changes, suggest that Goodwater has made progress in reducing violent crime, potentially positioning itself as a safer community within Alabama.