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Violent Crime Trends in Goodman, Missouri: A Decade of Low Incidence
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Goodman, located in Missouri, presents an intriguing case study in violent crime trends. Over the past decade, the city has experienced fluctuations in its total violent crime count, ranging from 0 to 2 incidents annually. This variation represents a significant percentage change year-over-year, given the low baseline. Concurrently, the population has shown a general decline from 3,844 in 2010 to 3,308 in 2022, a decrease of approximately 13.9%.
Examining murder trends, Goodman has maintained a consistent record of zero murders reported from 2010 to 2019. This stability is noteworthy, especially considering the population changes. The murder rate per 1,000 people has remained at 0 throughout this period, indicating a level of safety in this aspect of violent crime. The city's contribution to the state's murder statistics has also been consistently 0%, suggesting that Goodman has not been a significant factor in Missouri's overall murder rates.
Rape incidents in the city show a singular spike in 2012, with 2 reported cases. This translates to a rate of approximately 0.59 per 1,000 people for that year. Notably, this incident represented 0.17% of the state's total rape cases in 2012. In all other years from 2010 to 2019, no rape cases were reported, resulting in a 0% contribution to state figures. This isolated event stands out against an otherwise clean record, potentially indicating an anomaly rather than a persistent issue.
Robbery trends in Goodman mirror the murder statistics, with zero reported cases from 2010 to 2019. This consistency is reflected in a 0 per 1,000 people rate and a 0% contribution to state robbery figures throughout the decade. The absence of robberies, despite population fluctuations, suggests a relatively secure environment in terms of this particular crime category.
Aggravated assault emerges as the most variable violent crime in Goodman. The city reported 1 case in 2010, 2 cases each in 2011, 2014, 2015, and 2018, and no cases in the remaining years up to 2019. These fluctuations translate to rates ranging from 0 to 0.73 per 1,000 people, with the highest rate occurring in 2015 when the population was at its lowest point in the dataset (2,749). The city's contribution to state aggravated assault figures peaked at 0.01% in years with 2 reported cases, indicating a minimal impact on overall state statistics.
When examining correlations, a notable relationship emerges between population density and violent crime rates. As the population density decreased from 2,897 per square mile in 2010 to 2,493 in 2022, there was a corresponding decrease in the frequency of violent crimes. This suggests that lower population density may be associated with reduced violent crime occurrences in the city.
Applying predictive models based on the available data, it's projected that Goodman will likely maintain its low violent crime rates over the next five years (up to 2029). The forecast suggests that aggravated assaults may continue to be the most prevalent form of violent crime, potentially occurring every 2-3 years if historical patterns persist. However, the overall violent crime rate is expected to remain below 1 incident per 1,000 residents annually.
In summary, Goodman has demonstrated a remarkably low and stable violent crime profile over the past decade. The most significant findings include the consistent absence of murders and robberies, a single anomalous year for rape cases, and fluctuating but low numbers of aggravated assaults. These trends, coupled with the declining population density, paint a picture of a relatively safe small city environment. As Goodman moves forward, maintaining these low crime rates will likely remain a priority for local law enforcement and community leaders.
