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Violent Crime Trends in Glenwood, Georgia: A Decade of Fluctuation and Improvement
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Glenwood, Georgia, a small urban area with a population of 2,651 in 2022, has experienced notable fluctuations in violent crime rates and demographic composition over the past decade. The total number of violent crimes in the city has shown significant variability, with the available data indicating a peak of 3 incidents in 2013, followed by a decrease to 1 incident in 2014, and subsequently dropping to 0 in 2016. This trend occurred against a backdrop of population growth, with the city's population increasing by 11.9% from 2,367 in 2010 to 2,651 in 2022.
Regarding murder trends, the city experienced a single incident in 2013, which represented 0.43% of the state's total murders that year. This translates to a rate of 0.48 murders per 1,000 people based on the 2013 population of 2,092. In all other years with available data (2011, 2014, and 2016), no murders were reported. The isolated nature of this incident suggests it was an anomaly rather than a persistent issue for the community.
Data on rape incidents is not available for the years provided, making it impossible to analyze trends or draw conclusions about this category of violent crime in Glenwood.
Robbery trends show a slight decrease over the reported years. In 2013, there were 2 robberies, representing 0.03% of the state's total. This decreased to 1 robbery in 2014 (0.02% of the state's total) and then to 0 in 2016. When considering population, the robbery rate per 1,000 people dropped from 0.96 in 2013 to 0.53 in 2014, and then to 0 in 2016. This trend suggests an improvement in public safety regarding robberies over this period.
Aggravated assault data shows 0 incidents for all years reported (2011, 2013, 2014, and 2016). This consistent absence of aggravated assaults is a positive indicator for the city's safety profile.
When examining correlations between violent crime trends and other factors, a notable relationship emerges with population density. The violent crime peak in 2013 coincided with a population density of 1,123 people per square mile. As the population density increased to 1,435 in 2016, violent crime dropped to 0, suggesting that increased density did not lead to higher crime rates in this case.
Applying predictive models based on the limited data available, it's challenging to forecast with high confidence. However, if the trend of decreasing violent crime continues, we might expect the city to maintain low crime rates over the next seven years (up to 2029). The forecast suggests that Glenwood could potentially sustain its recent record of zero violent crimes, barring any significant changes in socioeconomic conditions or law enforcement strategies.
In summary, Glenwood has demonstrated a positive trend in violent crime reduction over the analyzed period. The most significant finding is the decrease from a peak of 3 violent crimes in 2013 to 0 in 2016, despite population growth. This improvement in public safety, particularly in the face of increasing population density, suggests effective law enforcement strategies or positive community development. However, the limited data points and gaps in information for certain crime categories necessitate cautious interpretation of these trends for future planning and policy-making in Glenwood.
