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Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Glasgow, located in Montana, presents an interesting case study in violent crime trends. Over the period from 2010 to 2022, the city experienced fluctuations in both its total violent crimes and population. The total number of violent crimes increased from 7 in 2010 to 17 in 2022, representing a 142.86% increase. During this same period, the population remained relatively stable, growing slightly from 3,394 in 2010 to 3,369 in 2022, a modest 0.74% decrease.
Analyzing murder trends, the city has consistently maintained zero incidents throughout the observed period from 2010 to 2022. This stability is particularly noteworthy given the population fluctuations. The murder rate per 1,000 people has remained at 0, and the city's contribution to the state's murder statistics has consistently been 0%.
Rape incidents have shown a concerning upward trend. In 2010, there were no reported cases, but by 2022, the number had risen to 8. This represents a significant increase in the rape rate per 1,000 people, from 0 to 2.37. The city's contribution to the state's rape statistics has also increased, from 0% in 2010 to 2.01% in 2022. This trend suggests a growing concern for public safety and calls for targeted interventions.
Robbery trends have remained relatively stable and low. The city reported only one robbery incident in 2010 and 2018, with zero incidents in all other years. The robbery rate per 1,000 people has fluctuated between 0 and 0.29. The city's contribution to the state's robbery statistics has been minimal, peaking at 1.09% in 2010 and 0.54% in 2018, with 0% in most other years.
Aggravated assault has shown the most significant increase among violent crimes. The number of incidents rose from 6 in 2010 to 9 in 2022, peaking at 31 in 2021. The rate per 1,000 people increased from 1.77 in 2010 to 2.67 in 2022, with a high of 9.28 in 2021. The city's contribution to the state's aggravated assault statistics has fluctuated, ranging from 0.23% to 1.28%, with the highest percentage in 2021.
Examining correlations, there appears to be a strong relationship between the increase in violent crimes and changes in racial distribution. The percentage of white residents increased from 90% in 2013 to 93% in 2022, coinciding with the overall increase in violent crimes. Additionally, the rise in median rent from $554 in 2013 to $754 in 2022 correlates with the increase in violent crime rates, potentially indicating socioeconomic pressures.
Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029), we anticipate a continued upward trend in overall violent crimes. Based on the historical data and current trends, we project that by 2029, the total number of violent crimes could reach approximately 25-30 incidents per year. Rape and aggravated assault are expected to be the primary drivers of this increase.
In summary, Glasgow has experienced a significant increase in violent crimes over the past decade, particularly in rape and aggravated assault. The stability in population coupled with rising crime rates suggests underlying social or economic factors contributing to this trend. The city's increasing contribution to state crime statistics, especially in rape cases, highlights the need for targeted crime prevention strategies and community support programs. As the city moves forward, addressing these trends will be crucial for ensuring public safety and maintaining the quality of life for its residents.