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Violent Crime Trends in Gibson, Tennessee: A Decade of Low Incidence
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
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Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Gibson, located in Tennessee, is a small community with a population of 1,168 as of 2022. Over the past decade, the city has experienced fluctuations in both its violent crime rates and population. From 2010 to 2020, the total number of violent crimes remained relatively low, ranging from 0 to 2 incidents per year. During this same period, the population decreased from 1,109 in 2010 to 1,083 in 2018, before increasing to 1,168 in 2022, representing a 5.3% overall growth.
Regarding murder trends, Gibson has maintained a consistently safe record with zero reported murders throughout the entire period from 2010 to 2020. This statistic remains unchanged relative to population growth, resulting in a murder rate of 0 per 1,000 people. The city's contribution to the state's murder statistics has also remained at 0% throughout this period, indicating a positive aspect of public safety in the community.
Similarly, rape incidents in the city have been non-existent from 2010 to 2020, with no reported cases. This trend has held steady despite population changes, maintaining a rate of 0 per 1,000 people. The city's share of the state's rape statistics has consistently been 0%, reflecting positively on the community's safety for its residents.
Robbery trends in Gibson mirror those of murder and rape, with no reported incidents from 2010 to 2020. The robbery rate per 1,000 people has remained at 0, and the city's contribution to state robbery statistics has been consistently 0%. This data suggests that the city has been successful in preventing this type of crime over the years.
Aggravated assault has been the only form of violent crime reported in Gibson during the analyzed period. The city experienced 2 incidents annually in 2011, 2014, 2015, 2016, and 2017, with a decrease to 1 incident in 2018. No aggravated assaults were reported in 2010, 2012, 2013, 2019, and 2020. The rate of aggravated assault per 1,000 people fluctuated accordingly, reaching a peak of 2.27 per 1,000 in 2014 when the population was at its lowest (869). The city's contribution to the state's aggravated assault statistics remained low, consistently at 0.01% during years with reported incidents.
Examining correlations between violent crime trends and other factors, there appears to be a weak inverse relationship between population density and aggravated assault occurrences. As the population density increased from 1,373 per square mile in 2013 to 2,043 in 2020, the number of aggravated assaults decreased from 2 to 0 annually. However, this correlation is not strong enough to draw definitive conclusions.
Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029), it is likely that Gibson will continue to experience low levels of violent crime. Based on historical data, we can expect the number of aggravated assaults to remain between 0 and 2 per year, with the possibility of occasional years with no reported incidents. Murder, rape, and robbery are projected to remain at or near zero, maintaining the city's trend of minimal violent crime.
In summary, Gibson has demonstrated a consistently low violent crime rate over the past decade, with aggravated assault being the only reported form of violent crime. The city's contribution to state crime statistics has remained minimal, and the absence of murders, rapes, and robberies speaks to the relative safety of the community. As the population continues to grow, maintaining these low crime rates will be crucial for the city's ongoing development and quality of life for its residents.
