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Violent Crime Trends in Georgiana, Alabama: A Decade of Fluctuations and a Recent Murder
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Georgiana, a small town in Alabama, has experienced fluctuating violent crime rates over the past decade. From 2010 to 2022, the total number of violent crimes increased by 100%, from 7 to 14 incidents. During this same period, the population decreased by 6.5%, from 3,418 to 3,195 residents.
Murder rates in the city have been relatively low, with no reported cases from 2010 to 2021. However, in 2022, there was one murder reported, representing 0.27% of the state's total murders. This sudden increase translates to a rate of 0.31 murders per 1,000 people in 2022, a significant change from the previous years of no murders. This isolated incident may not indicate a trend but warrants attention in the broader context of the city's safety.
Rape incidents have shown variation over the years. There were no reported rapes from 2010 to 2013. In 2014 and 2015, the city saw 2 and 3 cases respectively, accounting for 0.16% and 0.24% of the state's total rapes. The rate peaked at 0.89 rapes per 1,000 people in 2015. However, from 2016 to 2021, no rapes were reported. In 2022, one case was reported, representing 0.11% of the state's total and a rate of 0.31 per 1,000 people. This fluctuation suggests inconsistent patterns rather than a clear trend.
Robbery rates have remained relatively low and stable. The city reported 1 or 2 robberies in most years from 2010 to 2017, representing between 0.03% and 0.05% of the state's total robberies. The highest rate was 0.62 robberies per 1,000 people in 2014. Notably, no robberies were reported in 2013, 2021, and 2022, indicating a potential improvement in this area of violent crime.
Aggravated assault has been the most prevalent form of violent crime in the city. The number of cases fluctuated significantly, from a low of 3 in 2016 and 2021 to a high of 18 in 2014. The rate per 1,000 people ranged from 0.92 in 2016 to 5.62 in 2014. The percentage of state total varied between 0.03% and 0.19%. In 2022, there were 12 aggravated assaults, representing 0.11% of the state's total and a rate of 3.76 per 1,000 people. This shows a concerning increase from the previous year but remains below the peak seen in 2014.
There appears to be a correlation between population density and violent crime rates. As the population density decreased from 547 people per square mile in 2010 to 512 in 2022, the overall violent crime rate increased. This suggests that factors other than population density may be influencing crime rates in the city.
Applying predictive models based on the available data, it's projected that by 2029, the city may see a slight increase in violent crimes, potentially reaching around 16-18 incidents per year. However, this prediction should be interpreted cautiously due to the fluctuating nature of the historical data.
In summary, Georgiana has experienced varied violent crime trends over the past decade. While murder and rape incidents have been sporadic, aggravated assault remains the primary concern. The recent uptick in violent crimes, particularly in 2022, calls for continued vigilance and community-based crime prevention strategies. Despite these challenges, the overall crime rates remain relatively low for a small town, and the fluctuations observed suggest that targeted interventions could potentially have a significant impact on improving public safety in the coming years.
