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Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Gantt, Alabama, a small municipality with an area of 0.65 square miles, presents an interesting case study in violent crime trends. In 2010, the city reported a total of 1 violent crime, specifically an aggravated assault. The population has fluctuated over the years, growing from 2,148 in 2010 to 2,407 in 2022, representing a 12.06% increase.
Regarding murder trends, Gantt reported no murders throughout the period from 2010 to 2022. This consistent absence of murders means the murder rate per 1,000 people remained at zero, and the city contributed 0% to the state's murder statistics. This trend suggests a relatively safe environment in terms of homicides.
Similarly, the data shows no reported rapes in Gantt from 2010 to 2022. The rape rate per 1,000 people stayed at zero, with no contribution to the state's rape statistics. This consistent absence of reported rapes may indicate effective prevention measures or potential underreporting issues.
Robbery trends in Gantt mirror those of murder and rape, with no reported incidents from 2010 to 2022. The robbery rate per 1,000 people remained at zero, and the city did not contribute to the state's robbery statistics. This trend suggests a low risk of property crimes involving force or threat of force against persons.
Aggravated assault is the only violent crime category with reported incidents in Gantt. In 2010, there was one reported aggravated assault, representing 0.02% of the state's total. This translates to a rate of approximately 0.47 assaults per 1,000 people based on the 2010 population. Interestingly, no other aggravated assaults were reported in subsequent years up to 2022, resulting in a 100% decrease from 2010 to 2022. This sharp decline, while positive, should be interpreted cautiously given the small sample size.
When examining correlations between violent crime trends and other factors, the limited data on violent crimes makes it challenging to establish strong relationships. However, the city's population density increased from 3,306 per square mile in 2010 to 3,704 in 2022, coinciding with the period of no reported violent crimes after 2010. This could suggest that increased population density did not lead to an increase in violent crime, contrary to some urban crime theories.
Racial demographics show a slight shift, with the white population decreasing from 97% in 2015 to 81% in 2022, while other racial groups, particularly those identifying as two or more races, increased. However, given the consistently low crime rates, these demographic changes do not appear to correlate strongly with violent crime trends.
Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) is challenging due to the limited historical data and the already low crime rates. However, if current trends continue, Gantt is likely to maintain its low violent crime rates, potentially with occasional isolated incidents of aggravated assault. The forecast suggests that the city will likely continue to contribute minimally, if at all, to the state's violent crime statistics.
In summary, Gantt demonstrates remarkably low violent crime rates across all categories from 2010 to 2022, with only one reported incident of aggravated assault in 2010. This trend, coupled with population growth and demographic shifts, paints a picture of a relatively safe small town. The consistent absence of reported violent crimes, despite population increases, suggests effective local law enforcement strategies or strong community cohesion. However, it's important for Gantt to maintain vigilance and continue any successful crime prevention measures to preserve this positive trend into the future.