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Violent Crime Trends in Fulton, Texas: A Small Community's Fluctuating Safety Landscape
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Fulton, Texas, a small community with a population of 1,534 in 2022, has experienced notable fluctuations in its violent crime rates over the years. From 2013 to 2017, the total number of violent crimes varied significantly, peaking at 10 incidents in 2015 and dropping to zero by 2017, representing a 100% decrease. During this same period, the population grew from 1,245 to 1,261, an increase of approximately 1.3%.
The murder rate in this small town has been exceptionally low, with only one recorded incident in 2014. This single event resulted in a murder rate of 0.80 per 1,000 residents that year, which represented 0.11% of the state's total murders. In all other years from 2013 to 2017, there were no reported murders, effectively maintaining a 0% contribution to the state's murder statistics. The infrequency of such serious crimes suggests that homicide is not a persistent issue in this community.
Rape statistics for Fulton are limited, with no reported cases from 2013 to 2017. This absence of data makes it challenging to draw meaningful conclusions about rape trends or their relationship to population changes. The consistent zero figures could indicate either an absence of such crimes or potential underreporting.
Robbery trends showed a decline over the observed period. In 2013, there were 2 robberies, equating to 1.61 robberies per 1,000 residents and representing 0.01% of the state's total. By 2014, this number decreased to 1 incident (0.80 per 1,000 residents), and from 2015 to 2017, no robberies were reported. This trend suggests an improvement in public safety concerning property crimes.
Aggravated assault cases fluctuated significantly. Starting with 1 incident in 2013 (0.80 per 1,000 residents), it peaked at 10 cases in 2015 (8.44 per 1,000 residents), representing 0.02% of the state's total. However, by 2017, reported aggravated assaults had dropped to zero. This volatile pattern could be influenced by various factors, including changes in local law enforcement strategies or community dynamics.
When examining correlations, a notable relationship emerges between population density and violent crime rates. As the population density increased from 885 per square mile in 2013 to 896 per square mile in 2017, there was an initial increase in violent crimes followed by a sharp decrease. This suggests that other factors beyond population density likely play a significant role in crime rates in this small community.
Applying predictive models based on the available data, it's challenging to forecast with high confidence due to the significant fluctuations and small numbers involved. However, if the trend of decreasing violent crimes continues, we might expect to see very low crime rates persisting through 2029. The forecast suggests that Fulton could maintain its status as a relatively safe community with sporadic, isolated incidents rather than consistent crime issues.
In summary, Fulton has experienced an overall decline in violent crimes from 2013 to 2017, with the most significant changes observed in aggravated assaults. The community's small size means that even a few incidents can cause large percentage swings in crime rates. The town's ability to reduce violent crimes to zero by 2017 is particularly noteworthy and, if maintained, could position Fulton as one of the safer small towns in Texas.
