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Violent Crime Trends in Frisco City, Alabama: A Small Town's Evolving Safety Profile
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Frisco City, a small town in Alabama, has experienced fluctuating violent crime rates over the years, mirroring its changing population. From 2014 to 2022, the total number of violent crimes decreased from 6 to 4, representing a 33.33% reduction. During this period, the population also declined from 3,689 in 2014 to 3,241 in 2022, a decrease of 12.14%.
The murder rate in this city has shown a notable change. In 2014 and 2021, there were no reported murders. However, in 2022, one murder was recorded. This single incident resulted in a significant increase in the murder rate per 1,000 people, rising from 0 to 0.31. More strikingly, this single murder accounted for 0.27% of all murders in Alabama that year, a considerable proportion for such a small town. This sudden spike in the murder rate, while numerically small, represents a significant change for a community of this size.
Rape incidents in the city have shown a declining trend. In 2014, there was one reported rape, which equated to 0.27 per 1,000 residents and represented 0.08% of all rapes in Alabama. However, by 2021 and 2022, no rapes were reported. This decrease suggests an improvement in this aspect of public safety, though the small numbers involved mean even minor fluctuations can appear significant.
Robbery trends in the city have also improved. In 2014, there was one reported robbery, equating to 0.27 per 1,000 residents and representing 0.03% of Alabama's robberies. By 2021 and 2022, no robberies were reported. This elimination of reported robberies indicates a positive trend in property-related violent crimes.
Aggravated assault has been the most consistent form of violent crime in the city. In 2014, there were 4 aggravated assaults, or 1.08 per 1,000 residents, accounting for 0.04% of Alabama's total. This number remained stable at 4 incidents in 2021, representing 1.28 per 1,000 residents and 0.05% of the state's total. In 2022, there was a slight decrease to 3 incidents, or 0.93 per 1,000 residents, accounting for 0.03% of the state's aggravated assaults. Despite the overall decrease, aggravated assault remains the most prevalent violent crime in the area.
Examining correlations, there appears to be a relationship between population density and violent crime rates. As the population density decreased from 915 per square mile in 2014 to 804 in 2022, the total number of violent crimes also decreased. Additionally, there seems to be a correlation between racial demographics and crime rates. The percentage of white residents decreased from 77% in 2014 to 71% in 2022, while the percentage of black residents increased from 21% to 26%. This shift coincided with changes in crime patterns, though a direct causal relationship cannot be established without further analysis.
Applying predictive models based on these trends, it's projected that by 2029 (five years from now), the city may experience a slight increase in violent crimes, potentially reaching 5-6 incidents annually. This forecast assumes current trends continue and no significant changes occur in socioeconomic factors or law enforcement strategies.
In summary, Frisco City has seen an overall decrease in violent crime from 2014 to 2022, with notable improvements in rape and robbery rates. However, the recent occurrence of a murder and the persistent presence of aggravated assaults suggest that public safety remains a concern. The relationship between demographic changes, population density, and crime rates underscores the complex nature of crime in small communities and the need for continued vigilance and community-based crime prevention strategies.
