Robbery has not been a significant concern in the city, with no reported cases throughout the analyzed period. This consistent absence of robberies suggests that property-related violent crimes are uncommon, contributing to a sense of security for residents and businesses.

Aggravated assault has been the most prevalent form of violent crime in the city. The number of incidents fluctuated between 0 and 4 cases per year. The highest number of aggravated assaults (4) occurred in 2015 and 2019, representing 0.02% of the state's total each year. In 2015, this translated to a rate of 1.92 assaults per 1,000 residents, while in 2019, due to population decline, the rate increased to 2.25 per 1,000 residents. The years 2017, 2018, and 2020 saw no reported aggravated assaults, indicating significant variability in this crime category.

Examining correlations between violent crime and other factors reveals some interesting patterns. There appears to be a weak negative correlation between population density and violent crime rates. As the population density decreased from 1,579 per square mile in 2010 to 1,336 per square mile in 2020, violent crime incidents showed some fluctuation but generally remained low. Additionally, there seems to be a slight correlation between changes in racial composition and violent crime rates. As the white population percentage decreased from 88% in 2013 to 80% in 2022, there was a minor increase in violent crime incidents, particularly aggravated assaults.

Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) suggests a possible stabilization or slight decrease in overall violent crime rates. This projection is based on the recent years' trend of low crime numbers and the continuing population decline. The model predicts that aggravated assaults may remain the primary concern, potentially averaging 1-2 incidents per year, while other violent crimes are expected to remain rare or non-existent.

In conclusion, Friendship has maintained relatively low violent crime rates despite its population decline. The most significant violent crime concern has been aggravated assaults, which have shown variability over the years. The city's changing demographics and decreasing population density appear to have some influence on crime patterns, albeit minor. Moving forward, maintaining community-based crime prevention strategies and addressing factors contributing to aggravated assaults could help ensure the city's safety and well-being.