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Violent Crime Trends in Franklinton, NC: A Decade of Fluctuation and Improvement
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Franklinton, located in North Carolina, has experienced fluctuating violent crime rates alongside population changes over the years. From 2010 to 2022, the total number of violent crimes decreased from 11 to 5, representing a 54.55% reduction. During the same period, the population grew from 5,918 to 6,211, an increase of 4.95%.
Regarding murder trends, the city saw sporadic occurrences. In 2010 and 2014, there was one murder each year, while other years reported zero murders. The murder rate per 1,000 people peaked at 0.17 in 2010 and 2014, dropping to zero in other years. The percentage of state murders fluctuated, with the highest at 0.4% in 2010 and 0.32% in 2014. These figures suggest that while murders are rare, they have a significant impact on the city's crime statistics when they do occur.
Rape data for Franklinton is limited, with only two years reporting incidents. In 2012, there was one rape reported, representing 0.08% of state rapes. In 2021, another single rape was reported, accounting for 0.05% of state rapes. The rape rate per 1,000 people was 0.16 in 2012 and 0.16 in 2021. The infrequent nature of reported rapes makes it challenging to establish a clear trend, but it suggests that sexual violence is not a prevalent issue in the city.
Robbery trends show a decline over time. In 2010, there were 5 robberies (0.84 per 1,000 people), representing 0.07% of state robberies. This number fluctuated but generally decreased, with 2 robberies reported in 2022 (0.32 per 1,000 people), accounting for 0.04% of state robberies. The reduction in robberies, both in absolute numbers and as a percentage of state crime, indicates an improvement in this area of public safety.
Aggravated assault cases have shown significant variability. The highest number was recorded in 2012 with 18 cases (2.90 per 1,000 people), representing 0.12% of state aggravated assaults. By 2022, this had decreased to 3 cases (0.48 per 1,000 people), accounting for 0.01% of state aggravated assaults. This overall downward trend suggests improved community safety, though the fluctuations indicate ongoing challenges in maintaining consistently low levels of violent assaults.
There appears to be a correlation between violent crime trends and racial distribution in the city. As the white population percentage increased from 52% in 2013 to 60% in 2022, there was a general decrease in violent crimes. Concurrently, the black population percentage decreased from 40% to 30% during the same period. This demographic shift coincided with the overall reduction in violent crimes, suggesting a possible relationship between changing racial demographics and crime rates.
Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029), we anticipate a continued gradual decrease in overall violent crimes. Based on the current trends, we might expect to see an average of 3-4 violent crimes per year by 2029, with potential fluctuations due to the small sample size and historical variability.
In summary, Franklinton has shown a general improvement in violent crime rates over the past decade, particularly in robberies and aggravated assaults. The relationship between changing racial demographics and decreasing crime rates is notable and may warrant further exploration. While sporadic incidents of severe crimes like murder and rape occur, their infrequency suggests they are not systemic issues. The projected continued decrease in violent crimes, if realized, would further enhance the safety and quality of life for Franklinton's residents.
