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Violent Crime Trends in Franklin, North Carolina: A Decade of Improvement
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Franklin, located in North Carolina, has experienced fluctuations in violent crime rates over the years, alongside modest population growth. From 2010 to 2022, the total number of violent crimes decreased from 15 to 11, representing a 26.67% reduction. During this same period, the population increased from 17,118 to 18,248, a growth of 6.60%.
The murder rate in Franklin has remained consistently at zero throughout the recorded period from 2010 to 2022. This stability is particularly noteworthy given the population growth, maintaining a murder rate of 0 per 1,000 residents. The city's contribution to the state's murder statistics has consistently been 0%, indicating an exemplary record in preventing homicides.
Rape incidents have shown variability over the years. In 2010, there was 1 reported case, which increased to 3 in 2011, then dropped back to 1 in 2012. By 2022, the number of reported rapes was 2. The rate per 1,000 residents fluctuated from 0.058 in 2010 to 0.110 in 2022. The city's percentage of state rape cases varied, peaking at 0.26% in 2011 and settling at 0.10% in 2022. This suggests that while rape remains a concern, its prevalence relative to the state has decreased over time.
Robbery trends show a significant improvement. From 3 cases in 2010, robberies decreased to 0 by 2022. The rate per 1,000 residents dropped from 0.175 in 2010 to 0 in 2022. The city's contribution to state robbery cases also fell from 0.04% to 0%, indicating a complete elimination of reported robberies in recent years.
Aggravated assault cases have fluctuated but show an overall decrease. In 2010, there were 11 cases, which increased to 16 in 2012, but by 2022, the number had decreased to 9. The rate per 1,000 residents changed from 0.643 in 2010 to 0.493 in 2022. The city's percentage of state aggravated assault cases varied, peaking at 0.11% in 2013 and 2014, and decreasing to 0.04% by 2022. This suggests that while aggravated assault remains the most common violent crime in the city, its relative frequency has decreased over time.
There appears to be a correlation between the city's racial composition and violent crime trends. The consistently high percentage of white residents (around 87% from 2013 to 2022) coincides with relatively low and decreasing violent crime rates. However, it's important to note that correlation does not imply causation, and other socioeconomic factors may play a role.
Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next seven years (up to 2029), we can anticipate a continued gradual decrease in overall violent crime rates if current trends persist. The complete absence of murders is likely to continue, while rape and aggravated assault cases may further decrease or stabilize at low levels. Robberies are expected to remain at or near zero.
In summary, Franklin has demonstrated a positive trend in reducing violent crime over the past decade, particularly in eliminating robberies and maintaining a zero murder rate. The city's violent crime rates are generally low and decreasing relative to its population growth and state percentages. These trends, combined with the stable demographic composition, suggest that Franklin is likely to continue experiencing relatively low levels of violent crime in the coming years, contributing to its appeal as a safe community within North Carolina.
