Robbery trends have shown a general decline in Frankfort. From 2 cases in 2010, the number dropped to 1 in 2022, a 50% decrease. The robbery rate per 1,000 people decreased from 0.09 in 2010 to 0.04 in 2022, while the city's share of state robberies remained relatively stable at 0.01%. This downward trend suggests improved security measures or economic conditions in the area.

Aggravated assault cases have shown significant fluctuations. There were 11 cases in 2010, which decreased to 2 cases in 2022, representing an 81.8% reduction. The rate per 1,000 people dropped from 0.51 in 2010 to 0.08 in 2022, and the city's share of state aggravated assaults decreased from 0.04% to 0.02%. This substantial decrease in aggravated assaults is a positive trend for community safety.

Examining correlations, there appears to be a strong relationship between the increase in population density and changes in the racial composition of the city. As the population density increased from 1,382 per square mile in 2010 to 1,601 in 2022, the white population percentage decreased from 87% in 2013 to 79% in 2022. Concurrently, the Black population increased from 6% to 10%, and the Hispanic population from 3% to 6%. These demographic shifts coincide with changes in violent crime patterns, particularly the increase in rape cases and the decrease in other violent crimes.

Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029), we anticipate a potential continuation of the divergent trends observed. Rape cases may continue to increase if current trends persist, potentially reaching 8-10 cases annually. Robbery and aggravated assault cases are likely to remain low, possibly stabilizing at 1-2 cases per year for robberies and 2-4 cases for aggravated assaults. The murder rate is expected to remain at zero, maintaining the city's strong record in this area.

In summary, Frankfort has experienced a complex evolution in its violent crime landscape amidst population growth and demographic changes. The significant decrease in overall violent crimes, particularly in robberies and aggravated assaults, alongside the consistent absence of murders, paints a picture of improving public safety. However, the concerning rise in rape cases highlights an area requiring focused attention and resources. As the community continues to grow and diversify, maintaining low crime rates while addressing specific areas of concern will be crucial for ensuring the ongoing safety and well-being of all residents.