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Violent Crime Trends in Florissant, Missouri: A Decade of Demographic Shifts and Rising Assaults
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
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Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Florissant, Missouri, a suburban community with a rich history and diverse population, has experienced significant changes in its violent crime landscape over the past decade. From 2010 to 2022, the city saw a 47.92% increase in total violent crimes, rising from 96 to 142 incidents, despite a modest population growth of 0.41%. This disproportionate rise in violent crime relative to population growth has become a focal point for community concern and law enforcement efforts.
Murder trends in Florissant have shown notable variability between 2010 and 2022, with annual numbers ranging from 0 to 7. The murder rate per 1,000 people reached its peak in 2018 at 0.119, subsequently dropping to 0.033 by 2022. The city's contribution to state murders fluctuated significantly, peaking at 1.49% in 2018 before decreasing to 0.37% in 2022. This volatility suggests that localized factors, rather than broader trends, may be influencing the murder rates in Florissant.
Rape incidents in Florissant have shown a substantial increase from 2010 to 2022. Reported rapes rose from 2 in 2010 to 21 in 2022, marking a 950% increase. The rape rate per 1,000 people increased from 0.034 to 0.350 during this period, while the city's percentage of state rape cases grew from 0.19% to 1.00%. This significant rise in rape cases presents a growing concern for public safety and may reflect changes in reporting practices or evolving social dynamics within the community.
Robbery trends in Florissant have shown more stability, with a slight decline over time. The number of robberies decreased from 47 in 2010 to 28 in 2022, representing a 40.43% reduction. The robbery rate per 1,000 people fell from 0.787 to 0.467. However, the city's percentage of state robberies increased slightly from 0.84% to 0.92%, suggesting that while local robbery rates decreased, they did not fall as quickly as the state average.
Aggravated assault cases in Florissant have shown a significant increase. The number of incidents rose from 47 in 2010 to 91 in 2022, representing a 93.62% increase. The rate per 1,000 people increased from 0.787 to 1.519, while the city's percentage of state aggravated assaults grew from 0.33% to 0.52%. This substantial rise in aggravated assaults represents a concerning trend for community safety and law enforcement priorities.
An examination of correlations reveals a strong relationship between the increase in violent crime and changes in racial demographics in Florissant. As the percentage of Black residents increased from 31% in 2013 to 44% in 2022, violent crime rates also rose. Concurrently, the percentage of White residents decreased from 63% to 47%. This correlation suggests possible socioeconomic factors or community changes influencing crime rates.
Applying predictive models based on recent trends, forecasts indicate that by 2029, violent crime in Florissant may continue to increase if current trends persist. The model suggests total violent crimes could reach approximately 220-250 incidents annually, with aggravated assaults potentially accounting for the majority of this increase.
In conclusion, Florissant has experienced a notable increase in violent crime over the past decade, particularly in rape and aggravated assault cases, despite modest population growth. The changing demographic composition of the city appears to correlate with these crime trends, suggesting a complex interplay of social and economic factors. As the community moves forward, addressing these rising crime rates while navigating demographic shifts will be crucial for ensuring public safety and community well-being in Florissant.
