Rape incidents in Fletcher were non-existent from 2011 to 2020. However, in 2021, one rape case was reported, marking a significant change. This single case represented 0.06% of the state's total rape cases for that year. The rape rate per 1,000 residents in 2021 was approximately 0.36, based on the population of 2,804.

Robbery trends in Fletcher have remained consistently at zero from 2011 to 2021. Despite population growth, the robbery rate per 1,000 residents has stayed at 0, and the city's contribution to state robbery statistics has remained at 0% throughout this period.

Aggravated assault cases in Fletcher were non-existent from 2011 to 2019. However, in 2020, there were 3 reported cases, representing 0.03% of the state's total aggravated assaults. This spike resulted in an aggravated assault rate of approximately 1.09 per 1,000 residents, based on the 2020 population of 2,741.5. Interestingly, in 2021, the number of aggravated assaults dropped back to 0, despite a population increase to 2,804.

When examining correlations between violent crime trends and other factors, a notable observation is the relationship between population growth and the emergence of violent crimes. The city's population grew steadily from 2,335 in 2010 to 2,828 in 2022, an increase of about 21%. It was only in the latter years of this growth period (2020 and 2021) that the city began to record violent crimes, suggesting a possible correlation between increased population and the occurrence of such incidents.

Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) is challenging due to the limited and sporadic nature of violent crime data in Fletcher. However, based on the recent emergence of violent crimes coinciding with population growth, it's possible that the city may continue to see occasional, isolated incidents of violent crime as its population potentially continues to increase. The rate is likely to remain low, possibly fluctuating between 0 and 3 total violent crimes per year, assuming the population growth trend continues at a similar pace.

In summary, Fletcher has maintained remarkably low violent crime rates throughout most of the observed period. The recent occurrences of violent crimes, while noteworthy, are still infrequent and low in number. As the city continues to grow, it will be important for local authorities to monitor these trends closely to maintain the overall safety and low crime rates that have characterized Fletcher for many years.