Robbery trends in the city have shown a general decline. From 2 incidents in 2010 (0.07% of state total), robberies decreased to zero by 2022. The rate per 1,000 people fell from 0.33 in 2010 to 0 in 2022. This decline in robberies, even as the population slightly increased, indicates an improvement in this aspect of public safety.

Aggravated assault has been the most prevalent form of violent crime in the city. The number of cases dropped from 12 in 2010 to 7 in 2022, a decrease of 41.7%. The rate per 1,000 people decreased from 1.96 in 2010 to 1.13 in 2022. The city's contribution to state totals for aggravated assault has generally remained low, fluctuating between 0.05% and 0.2% over the years, with 0.06% recorded in 2022.

There appears to be a correlation between population density and violent crime rates. As the population density increased from 716 people per square mile in 2010 to 725 in 2022, there was a corresponding decrease in total violent crimes. This suggests that, contrary to common assumptions, higher population density in this case may not be associated with increased violent crime rates in the city.

Applying predictive models based on the observed trends, it's projected that by 2029 (five years from now), the city may see a further reduction in violent crimes. The total number of violent incidents could potentially decrease to around 4-5 per year if current trends continue. Aggravated assault is likely to remain the primary concern, but at lower levels than historically observed.

In summary, Fayette has shown overall improvement in its violent crime rates over the past decade, particularly in robberies and aggravated assaults. The consistent absence of murders and the recent decline in rapes are positive indicators for public safety. While fluctuations have occurred, the general trend suggests a safer environment for residents, with violent crime rates decreasing even as the population has slightly grown.