Loading Content...
Violent Crime Trends in Excelsior Springs: A Decade of Fluctuations in Missouri's Mineral Water City
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Excelsior Springs, a city in Missouri, has experienced notable fluctuations in violent crime rates over the past decade, alongside changes in its population. From 2010 to 2022, the total number of violent crimes varied significantly, with a peak of 47 incidents in 2011 and a low of 11 in 2016. By 2022, violent crime had increased to 40 incidents, representing an 81.8% increase from the 2010 figure of 43 crimes. During this same period, the city's population decreased by 7%, from 12,778 in 2010 to 11,885 in 2022.
Regarding murder trends, the city maintained a remarkably low rate, with zero murders reported in most years from 2010 to 2022. The only exceptions were in 2014 and 2022, when one murder was reported each year. This translates to a rate of approximately 0.08 murders per 1,000 people in those years. The percentage of state murders attributable to Excelsior Springs was 0.3% in 2014 and 0.19% in 2022, indicating a minimal contribution to the state's overall murder rate.
Rape incidents fluctuated over the years, with a low of 3 cases in 2012 and 2014, and a high of 11 cases in 2018. The rape rate per 1,000 people ranged from 0.22 in 2013 to 0.86 in 2018. The city's contribution to the state's rape cases varied, peaking at 0.55% in 2018 and dropping to 0.21% in 2020. By 2022, there were 9 reported rapes, representing 0.43% of the state's total and a rate of 0.76 per 1,000 residents.
Robbery trends showed variability, with a high of 7 incidents in 2013 and a low of 0 in 2019. The robbery rate per 1,000 people reached its peak at 0.54 in 2013 and its lowest at 0 in 2019. The city's share of state robberies ranged from 0% in 2019 to 0.16% in 2022. In the most recent year, 2022, there were 5 robberies, equating to 0.42 per 1,000 residents.
Aggravated assault cases demonstrated the most significant fluctuations among violent crimes. The number of incidents ranged from a high of 38 in 2011 to a low of 4 in 2016. The rate per 1,000 people varied accordingly, from 2.89 in 2011 to 0.29 in 2016. The city's contribution to state aggravated assaults was highest in 2011 at 0.27% and lowest in 2016 at 0.02%. In 2022, there were 25 aggravated assaults, representing 0.14% of the state's total and a rate of 2.10 per 1,000 residents.
A notable correlation exists between the city's racial demographics and violent crime trends. As the white population percentage decreased from 91% in 2013 to 84% in 2022, there was a corresponding increase in violent crimes, particularly in the last few years. This shift coincided with increases in the Hispanic population from 2% to 6% and the Black population from 3% to 5% over the same period.
Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends, it's projected that by 2029, Excelsior Springs may see a continued increase in violent crimes if current trends persist. The total number of violent crimes could potentially reach around 55-60 incidents annually, with aggravated assaults likely remaining the most common type of violent crime.
In summary, Excelsior Springs has experienced a complex pattern of violent crime over the past decade. While murder rates have remained exceptionally low, other categories of violent crime, particularly aggravated assault, have shown more variability. The recent upward trend in violent crimes, coupled with demographic shifts, suggests a changing landscape for public safety in the city. As Excelsior Springs continues to evolve, addressing these trends will be crucial for maintaining community safety and well-being.
