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Violent Crime Trends in Egg Harbor City: A Decade of Decline
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Egg Harbor City, New Jersey, a small urban area covering 10.85 square miles, has experienced notable fluctuations in violent crime rates over the past decade. From 2010 to 2022, the total number of violent crimes decreased by 45%, from 20 to 11 incidents. During this same period, the city's population increased slightly by 0.9%, from 4,337 to 4,376 residents.
Murder rates in the city have remained relatively low, with only three incidents reported between 2010 and 2022. The highest murder rate was in 2014, with 2 cases (0.47 per 1,000 people), representing 0.83% of the state's total murders that year. In most years, including 2022, there were no reported murders. This suggests that while murder is not a persistent issue, occasional incidents can significantly impact the city's crime statistics due to its small population.
Rape incidents have fluctuated over the years, with the highest number (3) reported in 2012, representing 0.55% of the state's total. In 2022, there were no reported rapes, down from 2 cases (0.47 per 1,000 people) in 2020. The inconsistent nature of these statistics makes it challenging to establish a clear trend but indicates that rape is not a prevalent issue in the city.
Robbery rates have shown a general downward trend. In 2010, there were 6 robberies (1.38 per 1,000 people), which decreased to 3 (0.69 per 1,000 people) in 2022. The percentage of state robberies attributed to the city has fluctuated, peaking at 0.29% in 2019 before dropping to 0.12% in 2022. This decline in robberies, both in absolute numbers and as a percentage of state crime, suggests improving safety conditions in this area.
Aggravated assault has been the most common violent crime in the city, but has also shown a declining trend. In 2010, there were 13 cases (3 per 1,000 people), which decreased to 8 cases (1.83 per 1,000 people) in 2022. The city's contribution to state-wide aggravated assaults has remained relatively stable, ranging from 0.08% to 0.29% over the years, with 2022 at 0.14%. This indicates that while assaults have decreased, they remain a concern relative to other violent crimes in the area.
Examining correlations, there appears to be a relationship between changes in racial demographics and violent crime rates. As the white population percentage decreased from 49% in 2013 to 44% in 2022, and the Black population increased from 17% to 24% over the same period, violent crime rates showed an overall decline. However, it's important to note that this correlation does not imply causation, and other socioeconomic factors likely play a role in crime trends.
Applying predictive models based on the current trends, it's projected that by 2029 (five years from now), violent crime in Egg Harbor City could further decrease by approximately 15-20%. This would bring the total number of violent crimes to around 9-10 incidents per year, assuming population levels remain relatively stable.
In conclusion, Egg Harbor City has shown a generally positive trend in reducing violent crime over the past decade, particularly in robberies and aggravated assaults. While occasional spikes in certain crime categories have occurred, the overall trajectory suggests improving safety conditions. Continued monitoring and community-based initiatives will be crucial in maintaining and furthering this positive trend in the coming years.
