Robbery rates in the city have been consistently low. The highest number of robberies reported was 2 in 2010, representing 0.01% of state robberies. Since 2017, there have been either zero or one robbery per year. The rate per 1,000 people has remained below 0.7 throughout the period. This suggests that robbery is not a prevalent issue in the community and has minimal impact on the state's overall robbery statistics.

Aggravated assault has been the most common violent crime in the city. The number of incidents peaked at 26 in 2019, representing 0.04% of state aggravated assaults. In 2022, there were 13 aggravated assaults, a slight increase from 10 in 2021. The rate per 1,000 people has fluctuated, reaching a high of 8.37 in 2019 before decreasing to 4.15 in 2022. The city's contribution to state aggravated assault figures has ranged from 0.01% to 0.04%, indicating a relatively small but persistent issue within the community.

There appears to be a moderate correlation between population density and violent crime rates. As the population density increased from 766 per square mile in 2010 to 841 in 2022, there was a general upward trend in violent crimes, though with significant year-to-year fluctuations. Additionally, there seems to be a weak positive correlation between the increasing Hispanic population (from 14% in 2013 to 25% in 2022) and the overall violent crime rate, though this relationship requires further investigation to establish causality.

Applying predictive models based on the observed trends, it's projected that by 2029 (five years from now), Early may experience a slight increase in violent crimes, potentially reaching around 18-20 incidents annually. Aggravated assaults are likely to remain the predominant form of violent crime, possibly accounting for 14-16 of these incidents. The murder rate is expected to remain low, with possibly one incident every 5-7 years.

In conclusion, Early has experienced fluctuations in violent crime over the past decade, with an overall increase that outpaced population growth. While murder and robbery rates remain low, aggravated assault presents the most significant ongoing challenge. The city's changing demographics and increasing population density may be factors influencing these trends, but they contribute only a small fraction to the state's overall violent crime figures. As the community continues to grow and evolve, focused efforts on preventing aggravated assaults could significantly impact the overall violent crime rate in Early.