Robbery trends in the city have been relatively low and inconsistent. The highest number of robberies reported was 4 in 2012, with several years reporting zero incidents, including 2022. The robbery rate per 1,000 people peaked at 0.50 in 2012 and has since declined to 0 in 2022. The percentage of state crime for robbery has remained very low, never exceeding 0.02% of the state total, suggesting that Diboll's robbery incidents have had minimal impact on state-wide figures.

Aggravated assault has been the most prevalent form of violent crime in the city. The number of incidents fluctuated from 11 in 2010 to 10 in 2022, with a low of 0 in 2017. The rate per 1,000 people decreased slightly from 1.51 in 2010 to 1.33 in 2022. The percentage of state crime for aggravated assault has remained relatively stable, hovering around 0.01-0.02% throughout the period, indicating that Diboll's contribution to state-wide aggravated assault figures has been consistent but minimal.

Examining correlations between violent crime trends and demographic factors reveals some interesting patterns. There appears to be a moderate correlation between the city's racial composition changes and violent crime rates. As the percentage of white residents decreased from 50% in 2013 to 39% in 2022, and the percentage of Black residents increased from 14% to 21% over the same period, there was a slight uptick in violent crimes from 6 in 2013 to 13 in 2022. However, it's important to note that this correlation does not imply causation and may be influenced by other socioeconomic factors not captured in the available data.

Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next seven years (up to 2029, which is five years from now in 2024) suggests a potential slight increase in overall violent crime incidents. Based on the historical data and current trends, the model predicts that by 2029, Diboll may see an average of 15-18 violent crimes per year, with aggravated assault likely remaining the most common type of violent offense.

In summary, Diboll has maintained relatively low violent crime rates over the past decade, with some fluctuations in specific categories. The absence of murders, low robbery rates, and the recent uptick in aggravated assaults are the most significant findings. While there have been some demographic shifts correlating with slight increases in violent crime, the overall impact on the state's crime statistics remains minimal. As Diboll continues to evolve, maintaining vigilance in crime prevention strategies will be crucial to ensure the safety and well-being of its growing population.