Loading Content...
Violent Crime Trends in DeLand, Florida: A Decade of Stability Amid Growth
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
DeLand, located in Florida, presents an intriguing case study in violent crime trends. From 2010 to 2022, the total number of violent crimes in the city fluctuated, starting at 153 in 2010 and remaining at the same level in 2022, despite a significant population growth from 42,581 to 54,162 during this period, representing a 27.2% increase in population.
The murder rate in DeLand has shown notable variability over the years. In 2010, there were no reported murders, but this increased to 4 in 2013, representing 0.72% of the state's murders that year. By 2022, the number decreased to 3 murders, accounting for 1.21% of the state's total. When adjusted for population, the murder rate per 1,000 people increased from 0 in 2010 to 0.055 in 2022. This fluctuation, despite being relatively small in absolute numbers, indicates a concerning trend in the context of the city's growth.
Rape incidents in the city have shown inconsistent patterns. The reported cases ranged from 0 to 8 over the years, with 3 cases reported in 2022, representing 0.18% of the state's total. The rate per 1,000 people decreased from 0.094 in 2010 to 0.055 in 2022, suggesting a relative improvement in this area despite population growth.
Robbery trends in the city have shown a general decline. In 2010, there were 36 robberies, which peaked at 46 in 2016 before decreasing to 20 in 2022. The robbery rate per 1,000 people decreased from 0.845 in 2010 to 0.369 in 2022. However, the city's share of state robberies increased from 0.21% in 2010 to 0.71% in 2022, indicating that while local rates improved, they did not keep pace with state-wide reductions.
Aggravated assault has been the most prevalent violent crime in DeLand. The number of cases increased from 113 in 2010 to 127 in 2022. However, when adjusted for population growth, the rate per 1,000 people actually decreased from 2.65 in 2010 to 2.34 in 2022. The city's share of state aggravated assaults increased significantly from 0.31% in 2010 to 0.98% in 2022, suggesting that this crime type has become a more prominent issue in DeLand relative to the rest of Florida.
There appears to be a correlation between the city's population density increase and the overall number of violent crimes. As the population density grew from 2,204 per square mile in 2010 to 2,803 in 2022, the total number of violent crimes also saw an uptick, although not proportionally. This suggests that while increased density may contribute to more incidents, other factors are also at play.
Applying predictive models based on these trends, it's projected that by 2029, DeLand may see a slight increase in overall violent crimes, potentially reaching around 160-170 incidents annually. However, when adjusted for the expected population growth, the per capita rate is likely to continue its gradual decline.
In conclusion, DeLand has experienced complex shifts in its violent crime landscape against the backdrop of significant population growth. While some crime categories like robbery have shown improvement, others like aggravated assault have become more prominent issues relative to state figures. The city's ability to maintain relatively stable crime rates despite rapid population growth is noteworthy, but ongoing vigilance and targeted interventions will be crucial to address the evolving crime dynamics in this growing Florida community.
