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Violent Crime Trends in Daytona Beach Shores: A Seaside City's Declining Crime Rates
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Daytona Beach Shores, a city in Florida, presents an intriguing case study in violent crime trends. From 2010 to 2022, the total number of violent crimes fluctuated significantly, starting at 31 in 2010 and ending at 11 in 2022, marking a 64.5% decrease. During this same period, the population grew from 5,987 to 6,223, a 3.9% increase. This juxtaposition of decreasing crime against a growing population sets the stage for a deeper analysis of specific crime categories and their implications for the city.
The murder rate in the city has remained remarkably low, with only two incidents reported over the 13-year period - one in 2016 and another in 2017. This translates to an average of 0.03 murders per 1,000 residents during those years, far below national averages. The percentage of state murders attributable to the city was 0.15% in 2016 and 0.16% in 2017, indicating that despite these isolated incidents, the city contributes minimally to Florida's overall murder statistics.
Rape incidents have shown considerable variability. The highest number was recorded in 2016 with 5 cases (0.89 per 1,000 residents), while several years saw no reported rapes. The city's contribution to state rape statistics peaked at 0.15% in 2010 and has since decreased, with no reported cases in 2020 and 2022. This trend suggests improvements in safety or reporting practices related to sexual violence.
Robbery trends reveal a general decline over the years. The highest number of robberies (5) occurred in 2016, equivalent to 0.89 per 1,000 residents. By 2022, this had decreased to 4 robberies (0.64 per 1,000 residents). Interestingly, while the number of robberies decreased, the city's percentage of state robberies increased to 0.14% in 2022, up from 0.01% in 2013. This could indicate that while local efforts to reduce robbery have been successful, the city's relative contribution to state statistics has grown due to more significant reductions elsewhere in Florida.
Aggravated assault has been the most prevalent form of violent crime in the city. The peak was in 2014 with 28 cases (5.02 per 1,000 residents), representing 0.08% of state aggravated assaults. By 2022, this had decreased to 7 cases (1.12 per 1,000 residents), accounting for 0.05% of state totals. This significant reduction suggests effective local strategies in combating this particular crime type.
Examining correlations, there appears to be a moderate inverse relationship between population density and violent crime rates. As population density increased from 7,054 per square mile in 2020 to 7,552 in 2022, violent crimes decreased from 26 to 11. Additionally, the city's racial composition has remained predominantly white (88% in 2022), with minimal changes over the years, making it difficult to draw strong correlations between racial demographics and crime trends.
Applying predictive models based on the observed trends, we can forecast that by 2029 (five years from now), violent crimes in Daytona Beach Shores could potentially decrease further to around 8-10 incidents annually. This projection assumes the continuation of current trends and the effectiveness of existing crime prevention strategies.
In summary, Daytona Beach Shores has experienced a notable overall reduction in violent crime despite population growth. The most significant improvements have been in aggravated assault and robbery rates. The city's contribution to state crime statistics remains relatively low across all categories, with some fluctuations in specific years. These trends suggest effective local law enforcement and community safety initiatives, positioning the city as a progressively safer place to live and visit within Florida.
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