Robbery cases have significantly decreased over the decade, from 92 incidents in 2010 to 38 in 2020, a 58.7% reduction. The rate per 1,000 people dropped from 1 in 2010 to 0.36 in 2020. The city's share of state robberies fluctuated between 0.41% and 0.66%, with no clear trend. This substantial decrease in robberies is a positive development for public safety in the area.

Aggravated assault cases have shown a notable decrease, from 251 in 2010 to 192 in 2020, a 23.5% reduction. The rate per 1,000 people decreased from 2.72 in 2010 to 1.82 in 2020. The city's percentage of state aggravated assaults ranged from 0.39% to 0.78%, with the highest percentage in 2012. This downward trend in aggravated assaults contributes significantly to the overall reduction in violent crimes.

Examining correlations between violent crime trends and demographic factors reveals some interesting patterns. As population density increased from 2,644 per square mile in 2010 to 3,025 in 2020, violent crimes generally decreased, suggesting that increased urbanization in this case did not lead to higher crime rates. Median rent rose from $1,131 in 2013 to $1,575 in 2020, coinciding with the overall decrease in violent crimes, which could indicate improving economic conditions.

The racial distribution data shows that the Hispanic population remained stable at around 44% from 2018 to 2021, while the white population decreased slightly from 44% to 40%. During this period, violent crime rates remained relatively stable, suggesting no strong correlation between these demographic shifts and crime rates in the city.

Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029), we can anticipate a continuation of the overall downward trend in violent crimes. Based on the historical data, we might expect murder rates to remain low but variable, potentially averaging 1-2 cases per year; rape incidents to potentially stabilize or slightly increase, reaching around 35-40 cases annually; robbery cases to continue decreasing, possibly reaching 25-30 incidents per year; and aggravated assaults to maintain their downward trend, potentially dropping to 160-170 cases annually.

In summary, Davie has shown a promising trend of decreasing violent crime rates despite significant population growth. The most notable improvements have been in robbery and aggravated assault cases, while rape incidents have increased, calling for targeted interventions. The lack of correlation between population density increases and crime rates suggests effective urban planning and law enforcement strategies. Moving forward, the city should focus on maintaining these positive trends while addressing the rise in sexual violence cases to ensure the continued safety and well-being of its growing population.