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Violent Crime Trends in Countryside, Illinois: A Study of Contrasts
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Countryside, located in Illinois, presents an interesting case study for violent crime trends. Between 2010 and 2022, the total number of violent crimes fluctuated, with a notable increase from 6 incidents in 2010 to 7 in 2022, representing a 16.67% increase. During this same period, the population grew from 6,961 to 8,000, a 14.93% increase, suggesting that crime rates have slightly outpaced population growth.
Examining murder trends, Countryside has maintained a remarkably consistent record with zero murders reported throughout the entire period from 2010 to 2022. This stability is particularly noteworthy given the population growth, resulting in a consistent murder rate of 0 per 1,000 residents. The city's contribution to the state's murder statistics has remained at 0% throughout this period, indicating a significantly lower incidence of murder compared to other areas in Illinois.
Rape incidents in the city have shown some variation over time. In 2010, there were 2 reported cases, which represented 0.12% of the state's total. The number peaked at 5 cases in 2011 (0.29% of state total) but then dropped to zero in subsequent years. In 2019, 2 cases were reported again (0.04% of state total), followed by another drop to zero in 2020. By 2022, the number returned to 2 cases, accounting for 0.06% of the state's total. The rate per 1,000 residents fluctuated accordingly, from 0.29 in 2010 to 0.25 in 2022, showing a slight overall decrease despite population growth.
Robbery trends in Countryside have been variable. The highest number of robberies was recorded in 2020 with 8 incidents (0.08% of state total), while several years saw no robberies at all. The rate per 1,000 residents peaked in 2020 at 1.00 but dropped to 0 by 2022. The city's contribution to state robbery statistics has generally remained low, never exceeding 0.08% of the state total.
Aggravated assault cases have shown an overall increasing trend. In 2010, there was 1 reported case (0% of state total), which increased to 5 cases by 2022 (0.04% of state total). The rate per 1,000 residents rose from 0.14 in 2010 to 0.63 in 2022, indicating a significant increase in the prevalence of this crime relative to the population growth.
Analyzing correlations, there appears to be a moderate positive relationship between population density and violent crime rates. As the population density increased from 2,418 per square mile in 2010 to 2,779 in 2022, violent crimes generally trended upward as well. Additionally, there seems to be a weak correlation between the slight increase in the Hispanic population (from 19% in 2013 to 21% in 2020) and the overall rise in violent crimes during this period.
Applying predictive models based on these trends, it's projected that by 2029, Countryside may see a slight increase in violent crimes, potentially reaching around 10-12 incidents annually. This forecast assumes continued population growth and stable socioeconomic conditions.
In summary, Countryside has experienced a modest increase in violent crimes over the past decade, slightly outpacing its population growth. While murder rates have remained at zero, other categories like aggravated assault have seen notable increases. The city's contribution to state crime statistics remains relatively low across all categories, suggesting that despite these increases, it maintains a comparatively safe environment within the broader context of Illinois.
