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Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Cottonwood Shores, a city in Texas, presents an intriguing case study in violent crime trends. From 2010 to 2011, the total number of violent crimes in the city decreased from 3 to 2, representing a 33.33% reduction. During this same period, the population declined from 1,187 to 1,147, a decrease of 3.37%. The analysis of murder trends in Cottonwood Shores reveals a consistent pattern. Throughout the reported years (2010 and 2011), there were no recorded murders. This translates to a murder rate of 0 per 1,000 people, remaining unchanged over time. The percentage of state crime for murder also stood at 0% for both years, indicating that the city did not contribute to the state's murder statistics during this period. Regarding rape trends, the data shows no reported cases in either 2010 or 2011. As with murder, this results in a rape rate of 0 per 1,000 people and 0% of the state's rape crimes for both years. The absence of rape cases suggests a relatively safe environment in this aspect of violent crime.
Robbery trends mirror those of murder and rape, with no reported cases in 2010 or 2011. The robbery rate remained at 0 per 1,000 people, and the city accounted for 0% of the state's robbery crimes during this period. This consistent absence of robberies contributes to the overall low violent crime profile of the city. Aggravated assault shows the most variation among violent crimes in Cottonwood Shores. In 2010, there were 3 reported cases, which decreased to 2 cases in 2011. This represents a 33.33% decrease in aggravated assaults. The rate of aggravated assaults per 1,000 people decreased from 2.53 in 2010 to 1.74 in 2011. The percentage of state crimes for aggravated assault also decreased from 0.01% in 2010 to 0% in 2011, indicating a slight improvement in the city's contribution to state-wide aggravated assault statistics.
When examining correlations between violent crime trends and other factors, a notable relationship emerges with population density. As the population density decreased from 1,108 per square mile in 2010 to 1,071 per square mile in 2011, there was a corresponding decrease in violent crimes from 3 to 2. This suggests a potential link between population density and violent crime rates in the city.
Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) is challenging due to the limited data available. However, based on the observed decrease in violent crimes from 2010 to 2011, if this trend were to continue, we might expect to see a further reduction in violent crimes over the next five years. This could potentially lead to years with no reported violent crimes if the downward trend persists.
In summary, Cottonwood Shores demonstrates a remarkably low and decreasing violent crime profile. The complete absence of murders, rapes, and robberies, coupled with a decline in aggravated assaults, paints a picture of a relatively safe community. The correlation between decreasing population density and reduced violent crime rates suggests that maintaining or further reducing population density might contribute to sustained low crime rates in the future. These findings position the city as a potentially attractive location for those seeking a low-crime environment, though ongoing monitoring and community efforts will be crucial in maintaining this positive trend.