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Violent Crime Trends in Combes, Texas: A Decade of Low Rates Amid Population Growth
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Combes, located in Texas, presents an interesting case study in violent crime trends over the past decade. From 2010 to 2022, the total number of violent crimes fluctuated, with a notable decrease from 13 incidents in 2010 to 8 in 2022, representing a 38.5% reduction. During this same period, the population grew from 4,044 to 4,940, an increase of 22.2%.
Murder rates in the city have remained exceptionally low, with only one reported case in 2012. This single incident represented 0.11% of the state's murders that year. The murder rate per 1,000 people was 0.26 in 2012, dropping to zero in subsequent years. This indicates that murder is an extremely rare occurrence in the city, with no discernible trend due to its infrequency.
Rape incidents have shown some variation over the years. In 2010, there was one reported case, equating to 0.25 per 1,000 residents and 0.02% of the state's total. The number increased to 4 cases in 2021 (0.84 per 1,000 residents and 0.04% of the state's total) before decreasing to 2 cases in 2022 (0.40 per 1,000 residents and 0.02% of the state's total). While there has been an overall increase since 2010, the small numbers make it difficult to establish a clear trend.
Robbery has been non-existent in the reported data for Combes from 2010 to 2022. This consistent absence of robbery cases suggests that it is not a significant concern for the community, maintaining at 0% of the state's total throughout the period.
Aggravated assault has been the most prevalent form of violent crime in the city. In 2010, there were 12 cases (2.97 per 1,000 residents), representing 0.02% of the state's total. The number fluctuated over the years, reaching a low of 0 in 2016 and a high of 12 in 2014. In 2022, there were 6 cases (1.21 per 1,000 residents), accounting for 0.01% of the state's total. This represents a 50% decrease in aggravated assaults from 2010 to 2022, despite population growth.
There appears to be a correlation between population density and violent crime rates. As the population density increased from 1,245 per square mile in 2010 to 1,521 in 2022, the overall violent crime rate decreased. This suggests that the city has managed to maintain relatively low crime rates despite growing denser.
The racial demographics of the city have also shifted during this period, with the Hispanic population decreasing from 83% in 2013 to 72% in 2022, while the white population increased from 17% to 25%. This demographic change coincides with the overall decrease in violent crime, though a direct causal relationship cannot be established without further analysis.
Applying predictive models based on the available data, it's projected that the violent crime rate in Combes will continue its general downward trend over the next five years (up to 2029). The city is likely to maintain its low murder and robbery rates, with aggravated assault expected to remain the primary concern, albeit at relatively low levels compared to the start of the decade.
In summary, Combes has experienced a notable decrease in violent crime over the past decade, despite population growth. The city has maintained exceptionally low rates of murder and robbery, with aggravated assault being the most prevalent form of violent crime, though also showing a decreasing trend. These trends, coupled with changing demographics and increasing population density, suggest that Combes has been effective in managing public safety as it grows and evolves.
