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Violent Crime Trends in Coffeeville: A Small Alabama Town's Path to Zero Incidents
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Coffeeville, located in Alabama, presents an interesting case study in violent crime trends. Over the period from 2010 to 2022, the total number of violent crimes in the city decreased from 1 to 0, representing a 100% reduction. During this same timeframe, the population declined from 1,476 in 2010 to 1,277 in 2022, a decrease of approximately 13.5%.
Regarding murder trends, there were no reported cases of murder and nonnegligent manslaughter in either 2010 or 2022. With zero incidents in both years, there is no percentage change to report, and the rate per 1,000 people remains at 0. The percentage of state crime for this category also stayed consistent at 0% for both years. This suggests that Coffeeville has maintained a very low risk for homicides throughout the observed period.
Similarly, rape incidents show no reported cases in either 2010 or 2022. The rate per 1,000 people and the percentage of state crime for rape both remain at 0, indicating no change over time. This consistency in the absence of reported rapes may reflect positively on the city's safety with respect to this particular violent crime.
Robbery trends follow the same pattern as murder and rape, with no reported cases in either 2010 or 2022. The robbery rate per 1,000 people and the percentage of state crime for robbery both remain at 0 throughout the observed period. This suggests that Coffeeville has consistently maintained a very low risk for robbery incidents.
Aggravated assault shows the most notable change among violent crime categories. In 2010, there was 1 reported case of aggravated assault, which represented 0.02% of the state's total. This equated to a rate of approximately 0.68 incidents per 1,000 people. By 2022, the number of aggravated assaults had dropped to 0, resulting in a 100% decrease. The percentage of state crime for aggravated assault also fell to 0% in 2022. This significant reduction in aggravated assaults contributes to the overall decrease in violent crime in the city.
When examining correlations between violent crime trends and other factors, the most notable relationship appears to be with population density. As the population density decreased from 326 people per square mile in 2010 to 282 in 2022, there was a corresponding decrease in violent crime, specifically in aggravated assaults. This suggests that the lower population density may have contributed to reduced opportunities for violent confrontations.
Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029), based on the current data and assuming the population and density trends continue, it is likely that Coffeeville will maintain its low violent crime rate. The city may continue to see zero or near-zero incidents across all categories of violent crime, particularly if the factors contributing to the current low crime rates remain stable.
In summary, Coffeeville has demonstrated a remarkable improvement in its violent crime statistics from 2010 to 2022, with a complete elimination of reported violent crimes by the end of the period. This positive trend, coupled with the declining population density, suggests that the city has become increasingly safe for its residents. The consistent absence of murders, rapes, and robberies, along with the significant reduction in aggravated assaults, positions Coffeeville as a community with a very low risk of violent crime, a trend that is predicted to continue in the near future.
