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Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Clinton, Missouri, a small urban area covering 9.17 square miles, has experienced noteworthy fluctuations in violent crime rates over the past decade. From 2010 to 2018, the total number of violent crimes varied, starting at 50 in 2010 and ending at 49 in 2018, with significant variations in between. This represents a slight decrease of 2% over the period. Concurrently, the population declined from 11,925 in 2010 to 11,561 in 2018, a decrease of about 3.05%.
Murder rates in the city have shown volatility. The city recorded zero murders in 2010, 2012, 2013, and 2016, while experiencing one murder each in 2011, 2014, 2017, and 2018. The murder rate per 1,000 people fluctuated accordingly, reaching a peak of 0.17 per 1,000 in 2015 when two murders occurred. The city's contribution to state murder statistics varied, from 0% in years with no murders to 0.49% of state murders in 2015. This inconsistent pattern suggests that while murder is not a persistent problem, isolated incidents can significantly impact the city's crime statistics due to its small population.
Rape incidents showed an overall increasing trend. From 3 cases in 2010, the number rose to 9 in 2018, a 200% increase. The rate per 1,000 people increased from 0.25 in 2010 to 0.78 in 2018. The city's percentage of state rape cases fluctuated but showed an overall increase from 0.28% in 2010 to 0.45% in 2018. This trend is concerning and may indicate a need for enhanced prevention and support services in the community.
Robbery rates in the city have been relatively low but variable. The number of robberies decreased from 6 in 2010 to 2 in 2018, a 66.67% reduction. The robbery rate per 1,000 people decreased from 0.50 in 2010 to 0.17 in 2018. The city's contribution to state robbery statistics remained low, peaking at 0.12% in 2013 and falling to 0.04% by 2018. This trend suggests that robbery is not a major concern for the city relative to other crimes.
Aggravated assault, the most common violent crime in the city, showed fluctuations over the period. From 41 cases in 2010, it decreased to 37 in 2018, a 9.76% reduction. The rate per 1,000 people slightly decreased from 3.44 in 2010 to 3.20 in 2018. The city's share of state aggravated assault cases remained relatively stable, ranging between 0.16% and 0.29% throughout the period. This suggests that while aggravated assault remains the primary violent crime concern, its prevalence has not significantly worsened relative to the state.
A notable correlation exists between the city's racial composition and violent crime trends. As the white population percentage decreased slightly from 94% in 2013 to 92% in 2018, there was a corresponding increase in the diversity of the population. This demographic shift coincided with some fluctuations in violent crime rates, particularly the increase in rape cases. However, it's important to note that correlation does not imply causation, and other socioeconomic factors may play a role in these trends.
Applying predictive models based on the available data, it's projected that by 2029, Clinton may experience a slight overall increase in violent crimes. The rape rate is expected to continue its upward trend, potentially reaching 12-15 cases annually. Aggravated assaults may stabilize around 35-40 cases per year. Robbery rates are likely to remain low, possibly 2-4 cases annually. Murder rates are difficult to predict due to their rarity but may continue to occur sporadically, averaging 0-1 per year.
In summary, Clinton has experienced varying trends in violent crime over the past decade. While some categories like robbery have shown improvement, others like rape have seen concerning increases. The city's small population means that even minor changes in crime numbers can result in significant percentage changes. As the community continues to diversify, it will be crucial for local authorities to adapt their crime prevention and community support strategies to address these evolving challenges and maintain public safety in Clinton.