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Violent Crime Trends in Clever, Missouri: A Decade of Fluctuations and Low Murder Rates
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Clever, Missouri, presents an intriguing case study in violent crime trends. Over the past decade, this small urban area has experienced fluctuations in its violent crime rates against a backdrop of steady population growth. From 2010 to 2022, the total number of violent crimes increased from 7 to 18, representing a 157% increase. During the same period, the population grew from 4,240 to 5,865, a 38% increase.
Murder rates in the city have remained remarkably low, with only one reported case in 2011, accounting for 0.34% of the state's murders that year. This translates to a rate of 0.23 murders per 1,000 people in 2011. In all other years, there were no reported murders, effectively maintaining a 0% share of state murders. This singular incident stands out as an anomaly in an otherwise murder-free decade, suggesting that homicide is not a persistent issue in the community.
Rape incidents have shown some variability over the years. The city reported no rapes in 2010, 2011, 2014, 2016, 2018, and 2019. However, there were single incidents reported in 2012, 2013, 2015, and 2022. The highest number of rapes (2) was recorded in 2017, representing 0.09% of the state's total. The rape rate per 1,000 people peaked in 2017 at 0.37 but has since decreased to 0.17 in 2022. This fluctuation suggests that while rape is not a consistent problem, it remains a concern that requires ongoing attention.
Robbery trends in the city have been minimal. The only reported robberies occurred in 2011, with 3 incidents representing 0.05% of the state's total. This translates to a rate of 0.68 robberies per 1,000 people for that year. Since then, there have been no reported robberies, indicating that this type of crime is not a significant issue for the community.
Aggravated assault has been the most prevalent form of violent crime in the city. The number of aggravated assaults fluctuated over the years, peaking at 15 incidents in 2013 (0.11% of the state's total) and reaching a low of 2 incidents in 2018 and 2019 (0.01% of the state's total each year). In 2022, there were 17 aggravated assaults, representing 0.1% of the state's total. The rate per 1,000 people has varied, with the highest being 3.08 in 2013 and the lowest being 0.36 in 2018 and 2019. The 2022 rate of 2.90 per 1,000 people suggests a recent uptick in this type of crime.
When examining correlations, there appears to be a weak positive relationship between population growth and the number of aggravated assaults. As the population increased from 4,240 in 2010 to 5,865 in 2022, the number of aggravated assaults also generally trended upward, albeit with fluctuations. The city's racial composition has remained predominantly white throughout the period, with the percentage of white residents ranging from 93% to 97%, showing no strong correlation with crime rates.
Applying predictive models based on the available data, it's projected that by 2029 (five years from now), the city may see a slight increase in violent crimes, potentially reaching 20-22 incidents per year. This forecast assumes that current trends continue and no significant interventions or changes in socioeconomic factors occur.
In summary, Clever has maintained relatively low violent crime rates overall, with aggravated assault being the primary concern. The singular murder in 2011 and sporadic rape incidents highlight the need for continued vigilance. While the total number of violent crimes has increased, it's important to contextualize this within the city's population growth. The community's ability to maintain low rates of robbery and murder is commendable, but the recent uptick in aggravated assaults warrants attention from local law enforcement and community leaders to ensure public safety in the coming years.
