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Violent Crime Trends in Clayton, California: A Decade of Stability Amid Growth
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Clayton, located in California, presents an intriguing case study in violent crime trends. Over the years from 2010 to 2022, the total number of violent crimes fluctuated, with a notable decrease from 15 incidents in 2010 to 15 incidents in 2022, representing no change over this period. During the same timeframe, the population grew from 18,350 in 2010 to 18,531 in 2022, a modest increase of 0.99%.
The murder rate in the city has remained consistently at zero throughout the observed period from 2010 to 2022. This stability in the absence of murders is particularly noteworthy given the population growth. The murder rate per 1,000 people has consequently remained at 0, and the city's contribution to the state's murder statistics has consistently been 0% over the years.
Rape incidents in the city have shown some variation over time. In 2011, there was 1 reported case, which increased to 3 in 2012. However, from 2015 to 2020, there were no reported rape cases. In 2022, there was 1 reported case. The rape rate per 1,000 people fluctuated accordingly, peaking at 0.16 per 1,000 in 2012 and dropping to 0.05 per 1,000 in 2022. The city's contribution to the state's rape statistics has been minimal, ranging from 0% to 0.05% at its highest in 2012.
Robbery trends in the city have shown some fluctuation. The number of robberies decreased from 9 in 2010 to 2 in 2022. The robbery rate per 1,000 people decreased from 0.49 in 2010 to 0.11 in 2022. The city's contribution to the state's robbery statistics has remained low, ranging from 0% to 0.02% at its peak in 2010.
Aggravated assault incidents have shown significant variation. The number increased from 6 in 2010 to 12 in 2022, with fluctuations in between, including years with no reported cases. The aggravated assault rate per 1,000 people increased from 0.33 in 2010 to 0.65 in 2022. The city's contribution to the state's aggravated assault statistics has ranged from 0% to 0.01%.
Examining correlations, there appears to be a weak relationship between population density and violent crime rates. As the population density increased from 4,778 per square mile in 2010 to 4,825 in 2022, violent crime rates did not show a consistent pattern of increase or decrease.
Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029), based on the historical data and current trends, we might expect the murder rate to remain at or near zero, rape incidents to potentially fluctuate between 0-2 cases per year, robbery cases to potentially stabilize around 1-3 incidents annually, and aggravated assaults may show a slight upward trend, potentially reaching 15-18 cases per year.
In summary, Clayton has maintained relatively low violent crime rates over the observed period. The most significant trend has been the increase in aggravated assaults, while other violent crime categories have remained low or shown decreases. The city's contribution to state crime statistics has consistently been minimal across all categories, reflecting its relatively safe status within California.
