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Violent Crime Trends in Clanton, Alabama: A Decade of Fluctuations
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Clanton, located in Alabama, presents an interesting case study in violent crime trends over the past decade. From 2010 to 2022, the city experienced fluctuations in its total violent crime incidents, with a notable peak of 115 incidents in 2016 and a return to lower levels by 2022 with 47 incidents. This represents a slight increase from the 47 incidents recorded in 2010. During this same period, the population grew from 14,725 in 2010 to 15,571 in 2022, a 5.75% increase.
The murder rate in Clanton has shown significant variability over the years. From 2010 to 2013, there were no reported murders. The city saw its first murder in 2014, representing 0.5% of the state's total. In 2015, there was again one murder, accounting for 0.38% of the state's total. Notably, 2022 saw a spike with 3 murders, comprising 0.81% of the state's total. This increase is particularly striking when considering the population trends, as it represents a rate of about 0.19 murders per 1,000 residents in 2022, up from zero in earlier years.
Rape incidents in the city have fluctuated without a clear trend. The highest number of reported rapes was 5 in both 2012 and 2014, while 2015 saw no reported rapes. In 2022, there were 3 reported rapes, accounting for 0.34% of the state's total. The rate per 1,000 residents has remained relatively low, with the highest being approximately 0.33 per 1,000 in 2014, decreasing to about 0.19 per 1,000 in 2022.
Robbery rates in the city have generally decreased over time. The highest number of robberies was 10 in 2013, representing 0.28% of the state's total. By 2022, this had decreased to 2 robberies, or 0.15% of the state's total. The rate per 1,000 residents has correspondingly decreased from about 0.65 per 1,000 in 2013 to approximately 0.13 per 1,000 in 2022.
Aggravated assault has shown the most dramatic fluctuations among violent crimes in the city. There was a significant spike in 2016 with 110 incidents, representing 1.01% of the state's total. This was a substantial increase from 56 incidents in 2015. However, by 2022, the number had decreased to 39 incidents, accounting for 0.34% of the state's total. The rate per 1,000 residents peaked at about 6.82 in 2016 but decreased to approximately 2.5 per 1,000 in 2022.
Examining correlations, there appears to be a relationship between population density and violent crime rates. As the population density increased from 637 per square mile in 2010 to 674 per square mile in 2022, there were corresponding fluctuations in violent crime rates. The racial distribution of the city has remained relatively stable, with the white population consistently representing around 80% of the total, which doesn't appear to have a strong correlation with crime trends.
Applying predictive models based on the available data, it's projected that by 2029, Clanton may see a slight decrease in overall violent crime rates. The murder rate is likely to stabilize at 1-2 incidents per year, while rape and robbery rates are expected to remain low. Aggravated assault may continue to show the most variability but is projected to remain below the 2016 peak.
In summary, Clanton has experienced significant fluctuations in violent crime rates over the past decade, with notable spikes in certain years followed by decreases. The most concerning trend is the recent increase in murders, while other violent crimes have generally shown a decreasing trend. These patterns, when considered alongside the modest population growth, suggest a complex interplay of factors influencing crime rates in the city.
