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Violent Crime Trends in Cherryville, NC: A Decade of Improvement Amid Growth
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Cherryville, located in North Carolina, presents an intriguing case study in violent crime trends. Over the past decade, the total number of violent crimes in this small city has fluctuated, with 29 incidents reported in 2010 decreasing to 12 in 2022, representing a 58.6% reduction. Simultaneously, the population grew from 9,796 in 2010 to 10,367 in 2022, a 5.8% increase, suggesting a complex interplay between demographic changes and crime rates.
Murder rates in the city have remained exceptionally low, with only one incident reported in 2015 and another in 2021. This translates to a rate of 0.10 murders per 1,000 people in those years, while most years saw no murders at all. The percentage of state murders attributed to the city was 0.33% in 2015 and 0.16% in 2021, indicating that Cherryville's contribution to statewide murder statistics is minimal and sporadic.
Rape incidents have shown some variability, with reported cases ranging from 1 to 4 annually. The rate per 1,000 people fluctuated between 0.10 and 0.39 over the years with available data. The city's percentage of state rape cases varied, reaching 0.21% in 2022, up from 0.12% in 2019. This suggests that while rape remains a concern, its prevalence relative to the state has increased slightly in recent years.
Robbery trends show a slight overall decline, from 2 incidents in 2010 to 2 in 2022, with some fluctuations in between. The rate per 1,000 people decreased from 0.20 in 2010 to 0.19 in 2022. The city's contribution to state robbery cases has remained relatively low, peaking at 0.08% in 2014 and standing at 0.04% in 2022, indicating that robbery is not a major issue compared to state levels.
Aggravated assault has seen the most significant changes among violent crimes. Incidents decreased from 25 in 2010 to 6 in 2022, a 76% reduction. The rate per 1,000 people fell from 2.55 in 2010 to 0.58 in 2022. The city's share of state aggravated assaults dropped from 0.19% in 2010 to 0.02% in 2022, showcasing a substantial improvement in this category.
Examining correlations, there appears to be a moderate inverse relationship between population density and violent crime rates. As the population density increased from 1,774 per square mile in 2010 to 1,877 in 2022, the overall violent crime rate decreased. This suggests that the growing population has not led to an increase in violent crime, contrary to what might be expected.
The racial distribution data shows a slight decrease in the white population percentage from 88% in 2020 to 87% in 2022, with a corresponding increase in the Hispanic population from 5% to 6%. However, there doesn't appear to be a strong correlation between these minor demographic shifts and violent crime trends.
Applying predictive models based on the observed trends, it's projected that violent crime rates in Cherryville may continue to decrease slightly or stabilize over the next five years (up to 2029). The total number of violent crimes could potentially drop to around 8-10 incidents annually, assuming current socio-economic conditions and law enforcement strategies remain consistent.
In summary, Cherryville has experienced a notable reduction in violent crime over the past decade, particularly in aggravated assaults, while maintaining low rates of murder and robbery. The city's contribution to statewide violent crime statistics has generally decreased, suggesting effective local crime prevention strategies. As the population continues to grow, maintaining these positive trends will be crucial for the city's safety and quality of life.
