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Violent Crime Trends in Chatom, Alabama: A Town's Journey Towards Safety
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
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Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Chatom, a town in Alabama, has experienced fluctuations in violent crime rates over the years, alongside changes in its population. From 2010 to 2022, the total number of violent crimes varied, with a peak of 9 incidents in 2011 and 2017, and a low of 1 incident in 2016. Over this period, the population decreased from 3,487 in 2010 to 2,814 in 2022, representing a 19.3% decline.
The murder rate in Chatom has remained consistently at zero throughout the recorded period from 2010 to 2022. This stability is noteworthy given the population changes, maintaining a rate of 0 per 1,000 residents. The percentage of state murders attributable to Chatom has also remained at 0% during this time, indicating that the city has not contributed to the state's murder statistics.
Rape incidents in the city have shown some variation. In 2015, there were 3 reported cases, representing 0.24% of the state's total. This translates to a rate of 1.2 rapes per 1,000 residents. In 2017, the number decreased to 2 cases (0.17% of state total), or 0.81 per 1,000 residents. By 2022, there was 1 reported case (0.11% of state total), or 0.36 per 1,000 residents. This suggests a declining trend in rape cases both in absolute numbers and relative to the population.
Robbery rates have remained low, with only sporadic incidents reported. In 2010, there was 1 robbery (0.03% of state total), equating to 0.29 per 1,000 residents. Similar incidents occurred in 2016 and 2017, with 1 robbery each year. However, in most years, including 2022, no robberies were reported, indicating an overall low and stable robbery rate in the city.
Aggravated assault has been the most prevalent form of violent crime in Chatom. In 2010, there were 4 cases (0.07% of state total), or 1.15 per 1,000 residents. The number peaked in 2011 with 9 cases (0.09% of state total), or 2.89 per 1,000 residents. By 2022, there were 2 cases (0.02% of state total), or 0.71 per 1,000 residents. This represents a general declining trend in aggravated assaults over the years, both in absolute numbers and relative to the population.
There appears to be a correlation between population density and violent crime rates. As the population density decreased from 325 per square mile in 2010 to 262 per square mile in 2022, there was a general trend of decreasing violent crime incidents. The racial composition of the city has remained predominantly white, with a slight increase from 70% in 2013 to 79% in 2022, which doesn't show a strong correlation with crime rates.
Applying predictive models based on the observed trends, it's forecasted that by 2029, Chatom may continue to see low and stable violent crime rates. The murder rate is likely to remain at or near zero. Rape incidents may continue to occur sporadically but at very low rates, potentially averaging less than one case per year. Robbery rates are expected to remain minimal, with years potentially passing without incidents. Aggravated assaults may stabilize at around 2-3 cases per year, reflecting the recent trend.
In summary, Chatom has maintained relatively low violent crime rates over the years, with aggravated assault being the most common form of violent crime. The town's decreasing population and density have coincided with an overall decline in violent crime incidents. The stability in certain crime categories, particularly the absence of murders, suggests that Chatom remains a relatively safe community despite its demographic changes.
