Robbery rates have seen a substantial decline. In 2010, there were 45 robberies (1.24 per 1,000 people), which decreased to 19 cases (0.48 per 1,000 people) by 2022. The city's share of state robberies increased slightly from 0.27% to 0.67% over this period, despite the local decrease, indicating a potentially larger statewide reduction in robberies.

Aggravated assault, the most common violent crime in the city, has also decreased significantly. In 2010, there were 152 cases (4.2 per 1,000 people), which reduced to 61 cases (1.53 per 1,000 people) by 2022. The city's contribution to state aggravated assaults increased slightly from 0.41% to 0.47% during this period, suggesting that the reduction in Casselberry may be part of a broader statewide trend.

There appears to be a correlation between the city's changing demographics and the violent crime trends. As the white population percentage decreased from 66% in 2013 to 54% in 2022, and the Hispanic population increased from 21% to 29% during the same period, the overall violent crime rate decreased. This suggests that the demographic shifts have not negatively impacted the city's safety.

Applying predictive models based on the current trends, it's projected that by 2029 (five years from now), Casselberry may see a further reduction in overall violent crimes. The murder rate is likely to stabilize at its current low level, while rape and robbery rates may continue their downward trend. Aggravated assaults are expected to decrease further, potentially reaching around 50 cases per year.

In conclusion, Casselberry has made significant strides in reducing violent crime over the past decade, with notable decreases across most categories despite population growth. The changing demographic landscape has coincided with improved safety metrics, suggesting a resilient and adapting community. As the city continues to grow and evolve, maintaining these positive trends in crime reduction will be crucial for the well-being and prosperity of its residents.