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Violent Crime Trends in Carbon Hill, Alabama: A Decade of Improvement Despite Population Decline
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Carbon Hill, located in Alabama, has experienced significant changes in its violent crime landscape over the years. From 2010 to 2022, the total number of violent crimes fluctuated, with a peak of 14 incidents in 2013 and a low of 3 incidents in 2022, representing a 78.6% decrease over this period. Simultaneously, the city's population declined from 5,257 in 2010 to 4,054 in 2022, a 22.9% decrease.
The murder rate in the city has remained consistently at zero from 2010 to 2022, with no reported cases throughout this period. This stability in the murder rate, despite the population decline, suggests a consistently safe environment in terms of homicides. The percentage of state murders attributed to the city has also remained at 0% throughout the years, indicating that Carbon Hill has not contributed to the state's murder statistics.
Rape incidents in the city have been sporadic, with single cases reported in 2013 and 2015, and again in 2022. The rate per 1,000 people increased slightly from 0.19 in 2013 to 0.25 in 2022 due to the declining population. The city's contribution to state rape statistics fluctuated, rising from 0.09% in 2013 to 0.11% in 2022. This slight increase, despite fewer overall incidents, suggests that rape occurrences in the city have become relatively more significant in the state context as the population decreased.
Robbery trends show a decline over time. The city experienced a peak of 5 robberies in 2013, representing 0.14% of state robberies, but this number dropped to zero by 2022. The robbery rate per 1,000 people peaked at 0.94 in 2013 and fell to 0 by 2022. This significant decrease in robberies, both in absolute numbers and as a percentage of state crime, indicates an improvement in this aspect of public safety.
Aggravated assault has been the most prevalent form of violent crime in the city. The number of incidents peaked at 12 in 2016, with a rate of 2.36 per 1,000 people, representing 0.11% of state assaults. By 2022, this had decreased to 2 incidents, or 0.49 per 1,000 people, accounting for 0.02% of state assaults. This substantial decrease of 83.3% in aggravated assaults from 2016 to 2022 suggests a significant improvement in public safety.
There appears to be a correlation between the declining population density and the decrease in violent crime. As the population density dropped from 953 per square mile in 2010 to 735 in 2022, the overall violent crime rate also decreased. Additionally, there seems to be a relationship between the racial composition and crime rates. As the white population percentage decreased slightly from 94% in 2013 to 91% in 2022, and the black population increased from 2% to 4%, the overall violent crime rate declined, suggesting that demographic changes may have influenced crime trends.
Applying predictive models based on these trends, it's projected that by 2029 (five years from now), Carbon Hill may see a further reduction in violent crimes. The aggravated assault rate could potentially drop to less than 0.3 per 1,000 people, while robbery and murder rates are likely to remain at or near zero. Rape incidents may continue to be sporadic but are expected to remain low.
In summary, Carbon Hill has shown a remarkable improvement in its violent crime situation from 2010 to 2022, with significant reductions across most categories. The consistent absence of murders, the decrease in robberies to zero, and the substantial reduction in aggravated assaults are particularly noteworthy. These trends, coupled with demographic changes and population decline, paint a picture of a city that has become safer over time. As the city moves forward, maintaining these positive trends will be crucial for the continued safety and well-being of its residents.
