Robbery cases in Canfield were extremely rare, with only one reported incident in 2015, representing 0.01% of Ohio's total robberies that year. This single case equates to a rate of 0.094 robberies per 1,000 people for 2015. In all other years, the city reported zero robberies, indicating that robbery is not a significant concern for the community.

Aggravated assault cases ranged from 0 to 2 incidents per year between 2010 and 2022. The highest number of cases (2) occurred in 2014 and 2015, representing 0.02% of the state's total aggravated assaults in each of those years. The rate of aggravated assaults per 1,000 people peaked at 0.19 in 2014 and 2015. While there were some fluctuations, no clear long-term trend is evident in the aggravated assault data.

When examining correlations between violent crime trends and other factors, we find a weak relationship between population density and violent crime rates. The population density remained relatively stable, ranging from 2,016 to 2,121 people per square mile over the period, while violent crime numbers fluctuated without a clear correlation to these density changes.

Racial distribution shows a potential correlation with violent crime trends. The percentage of white residents decreased slightly from 94% in 2013 to 91% in 2022, while the percentage of residents identifying as two or more races increased from 1% to 4% over the same period. This diversification coincided with some fluctuations in violent crime numbers, but the relationship is not strong enough to draw definitive conclusions.

Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) is challenging due to the low and inconsistent numbers. However, based on the historical data, we can cautiously project that violent crime rates are likely to remain low, with annual totals ranging between 0 and 4 incidents. The city may continue to experience occasional years with no reported violent crimes, interspersed with years of 1-3 incidents, primarily consisting of rape and aggravated assault cases.

In summary, Canfield demonstrates a pattern of very low violent crime rates across all categories. Murder and robbery are especially rare, with only isolated incidents over the 12-year period. Rape and aggravated assault, while more frequent, still occur at low rates relative to the population. The city's stable population and demographic composition likely contribute to these consistently low crime rates. While minor fluctuations exist, there is no clear trend of increase or decrease in violent crime over time, suggesting that Canfield maintains a relatively safe environment for its residents.