Robbery trends in the city show remarkable consistency, with zero reported cases throughout the entire period from 2010 to 2022. This absence of robbery incidents, maintained even as the population fluctuated, suggests effective crime prevention strategies or social factors contributing to a low-crime environment for this particular offense. The robbery rate per 1,000 people and the percentage of state robbery crimes attributed to Caney remained at zero throughout this period.

Aggravated assault trends in Caney have shown some variation over the years. The city experienced periods of no reported assaults interspersed with years where incidents occurred. Notably, there were 2 cases in 2017, 1 case in 2018, and 1 case in 2020. In 2017, with a population of 1,363, the aggravated assault rate was approximately 1.47 per 1,000 residents. This rate decreased to 0.67 per 1,000 in 2018 and 0.66 per 1,000 in 2020. The percentage of state aggravated assault crimes attributed to Caney ranged from 0.01% to 0.02% during these years. These figures suggest that while aggravated assault is not a persistent problem, it does occur sporadically in the community.

Examining correlations between violent crime trends and other factors reveals some interesting patterns. There appears to be a weak correlation between population density and violent crime incidents. For instance, the peak in violent crime (3 incidents) in 2018 coincided with a population density of 1,984 people per square mile, which was higher than many previous years. However, this correlation is not consistent across all years, as periods of higher density did not always correspond to higher crime rates.

Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) suggests that Caney is likely to maintain its generally low violent crime profile. Based on the historical data, we can expect murder and robbery rates to remain at or very close to zero, rape incidents to potentially occur sporadically, with an average of 0-1 cases per year, and aggravated assaults to fluctuate between 0-2 cases per year, with some years potentially seeing no incidents.

In summary, Caney has demonstrated a relatively stable and low violent crime environment over the past decade. The most significant findings include the consistent absence of murders and robberies, sporadic occurrences of rape and aggravated assault, and a generally low contribution to the state's overall violent crime statistics. These trends, combined with the modest population growth, suggest that Caney has maintained effective crime prevention measures and community safety strategies. As the city moves forward, maintaining these low crime rates while addressing the occasional spikes in specific categories will be crucial for ensuring the continued safety and well-being of its residents.