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Violent Crime Trends in Candor: A Small North Carolina Town's Declining Population and Crime Rates
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Candor, located in North Carolina, has experienced notable changes in its violent crime rates alongside fluctuations in population over recent years. From 2020 to 2022, the total number of violent crimes decreased from 2 to 1, representing a 50% reduction. During this same period, the population declined from 3,102 to 2,650, a decrease of approximately 14.6%.
The data provided does not show any reported murders in Candor for the years 2020 and 2022. This absence of reported murders suggests a relatively low level of lethal violence in the community during the observed period. Similarly, there were no reported rape cases in either 2020 or 2022. The lack of data on rape incidents may indicate either a low incidence of reported sexual violence or potential underreporting in the community.
Robbery is the only violent crime category with reported incidents in both 2020 and 2022. In 2020, there were 2 robberies reported, which decreased to 1 in 2022, representing a 50% reduction. When considering the population change, the robbery rate per 1,000 residents decreased from 0.64 in 2020 to 0.38 in 2022. The percentage of state robberies attributed to Candor also decreased from 0.04% to 0.02% over this period. This downward trend in robberies, both in absolute numbers and as a proportion of state crime, suggests an improvement in public safety related to this specific offense.
The data shows no reported aggravated assaults in either 2020 or 2022. The absence of reported incidents precludes any trend analysis or comparison to population changes or state percentages for this crime category.
When examining correlations between violent crime trends and other demographic factors, the most notable relationship appears to be with population density. As the population density decreased from 1,531 per square mile in 2020 to 1,308 per square mile in 2022, there was a corresponding decrease in the number of violent crimes. This suggests a potential link between population density and crime rates in the city.
Applying predictive models based on the limited data available, it is challenging to forecast with high confidence. However, if the current trends continue, we might expect to see the violent crime rate remain low or potentially decrease further by 2029. The robbery rate, being the only consistently reported violent crime, could potentially drop to near zero or maintain its low level of one incident or fewer per year.
In summary, Candor has experienced a decrease in both population and reported violent crimes from 2020 to 2022. The most significant finding is the reduction in robberies, both in absolute numbers and as a percentage of state crime. The absence of reported murders, rapes, and aggravated assaults during this period suggests a relatively low level of severe violent crime in the community. These trends, coupled with the declining population density, paint a picture of a small town that has seen improvements in public safety, particularly concerning robbery offenses.
