Robbery trends in Campbell have fluctuated over the years. The highest number of robberies (4) was reported in 2015, representing a rate of 0.49 per 1,000 people. The city's contribution to state robbery cases peaked at 0.05% in 2015. By 2019, robberies had decreased to 2 cases, or 0.25 per 1,000 people, representing 0.03% of state robberies. This suggests a general downward trend in robberies relative to both the city's population and state figures.

Aggravated assault has shown the most significant fluctuations among violent crimes in the city. From no reported cases in 2011 and 2016, it peaked at 7 cases in 2017, representing a rate of 0.87 per 1,000 people and 0.06% of state cases. By 2019, there were 6 reported cases, or 0.76 per 1,000 people, accounting for 0.04% of state aggravated assaults. This crime category has shown the most volatility and has been the primary driver of overall violent crime numbers in recent years.

Examining correlations, there appears to be a moderate inverse relationship between population density and violent crime rates. As the population density decreased from 2,275 per square mile in 2010 to 2,103 in 2022, violent crime incidents showed an overall increase. Additionally, there's a notable correlation between changing racial demographics and crime trends. The percentage of white residents decreased from 62% in 2013 to 49% in 2022, while the Hispanic population increased from 13% to 27% during the same period. This demographic shift coincided with the overall increase in violent crime incidents, though a direct causal relationship cannot be established without further analysis.

Applying predictive models based on the available data, it's projected that by 2029 (five years from now), Campbell may see a slight increase in violent crimes, potentially reaching 10-12 incidents annually. This projection assumes the continuation of current demographic trends and no significant changes in local law enforcement strategies or socioeconomic conditions.

In summary, Campbell has experienced a complex evolution of violent crime patterns over the past decade. While murder rates have remained consistently low, other categories such as aggravated assault have shown more variability. The inverse relationship between population density and crime rates, coupled with changing demographics, presents a nuanced picture of public safety in this small Ohio city. As Campbell continues to evolve, monitoring these trends will be crucial for maintaining community safety and informing effective law enforcement strategies.