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Violent Crime Trends in Caldwell, Idaho: A Decade of Significant Changes
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
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Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Caldwell, located in Idaho, has experienced significant changes in violent crime patterns over the past decade. From 2010 to 2022, the total number of violent crimes in the city increased by 98%, rising from 150 to 297 incidents. This substantial increase occurred alongside a population growth, though exact figures for population change are unavailable due to limited data.
The murder rate in Caldwell has fluctuated over the years, with notable spikes in certain periods. In 2011, there were 2 murders, representing 12.5% of the state's total. This percentage remained the same in 2012 with 1 murder. After several years of no reported murders, 2022 saw 3 murders, accounting for 10.34% of the state's total. This increase is significant, especially considering the city's relatively small size. The murder rate per 1,000 people in 2022 was approximately 0.045, indicating a concerning uptick in this serious violent crime.
Rape incidents in the city have shown a troubling upward trend. In 2010, there were 14 reported rapes, which increased to 48 in 2022, a 242.86% increase. The percentage of state rape cases attributable to Caldwell also rose from 3.71% in 2010 to 7.03% in 2022. The rape rate per 1,000 people in 2022 was approximately 0.73, a substantial increase from 2010. This trend suggests a growing problem with sexual violence in the community.
Robbery trends in Caldwell have been volatile but generally declining. From 14 robberies in 2010 (7.22% of state total) to just 1 in 2022 (0.78% of state total), there's been a significant 92.86% decrease. The robbery rate per 1,000 people in 2022 was approximately 0.015, a marked improvement from earlier years. This decline in robberies is a positive development for the city's overall safety.
Aggravated assault has seen a dramatic increase over the years. In 2010, there were 122 cases, which rose to 245 in 2022, a 100.82% increase. The city's share of state aggravated assaults grew from 6.64% in 2010 to 10.32% in 2022. The rate of aggravated assaults per 1,000 people in 2022 was approximately 3.72, indicating a significant rise in this form of violent crime.
The 2022 data shows a population density of 2,803 people per square mile and a median rent of $1,179. The racial distribution in 2022 was predominantly white (51%) and Hispanic (44%), which could be relevant factors in understanding the community dynamics related to crime.
Applying predictive models based on the available data, it's projected that by 2029, Caldwell may see a continued increase in violent crimes, particularly in aggravated assaults and rapes. The murder rate might stabilize but remain a concern. Robberies are expected to remain low but could potentially increase slightly from the 2022 low.
In summary, Caldwell has experienced a concerning rise in violent crimes over the past decade, particularly in aggravated assaults and rapes. While robberies have decreased, the overall trend suggests growing challenges in maintaining public safety. The city's changing demographics and rapid population growth may be contributing factors to these trends. As Caldwell continues to evolve, addressing these rising violent crime rates will be crucial for the well-being and safety of its residents.
