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Violent Crime Trends in Cabool, Missouri: A Study of Fluctuations and Demographic Shifts
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Cabool, located in Missouri, presents an interesting case study in violent crime trends over the past decade. From 2010 to 2022, the city experienced fluctuations in total violent crimes, with the highest count of 9 incidents in 2015 and the lowest of 1 incident in 2014 and 2020. Over this period, the population decreased from 4,776 in 2010 to 4,124 in 2022, a 13.7% reduction.
The murder rate in the city has remained exceptionally low, with only two recorded incidents in 2011, representing 0.69% of the state's total that year. This translates to a rate of 0.40 murders per 1,000 residents in 2011. In all other years, there were no reported murders, indicating a generally safe environment in terms of homicides. The percentage of state murders dropped to 0% for all other years, suggesting that Cabool's contribution to Missouri's murder statistics is minimal.
Rape incidents have fluctuated over the years, with peaks of 2 cases in 2013 and 2021. The rape rate per 1,000 residents reached its highest at 0.43 in 2013 and 0.45 in 2021. The city's contribution to state rape statistics varied, with the highest percentage at 0.11% in 2013. These figures suggest that while rape is not a frequent occurrence, it remains a concern that requires attention from local law enforcement.
Robbery has been a rare crime in the city, with only two reported incidents over the 13-year period: one in 2010 and one in 2021. This translates to rates of 0.21 and 0.23 robberies per 1,000 residents in those years, respectively. The city's contribution to state robbery statistics peaked at 0.03% in 2021, indicating that robbery is not a significant issue compared to larger urban areas in Missouri.
Aggravated assault has been the most prevalent form of violent crime in the city. The highest number of incidents was 8 in 2015, equating to a rate of 1.69 per 1,000 residents. The city's contribution to state aggravated assault statistics peaked at 0.05% that same year. Despite fluctuations, there's been a general downward trend in recent years, with 2 incidents reported in 2022, representing 0.01% of the state's total.
There appears to be a correlation between population density and violent crime rates. As the population density decreased from 1,224 per square mile in 2010 to 1,057 in 2022, there was a general trend of decreased violent crime incidents. However, this correlation is not perfect, as evidenced by the spike in 2015 despite a relatively stable population density.
The racial composition of the city has remained predominantly white, with a slight decrease from 95% in 2013 to 87% in 2022. This change coincides with a slight increase in diversity, particularly in the Hispanic and two or more races categories. However, there doesn't appear to be a strong correlation between these demographic shifts and violent crime trends.
Applying predictive models based on the available data, it's projected that violent crime rates in Cabool will likely remain low and relatively stable over the next five years (up to 2029). The city may continue to experience between 2 to 5 violent crime incidents annually, with aggravated assault remaining the most common type of violent crime.
In summary, Cabool has maintained a relatively low violent crime rate over the past decade, with aggravated assault being the primary concern. The city's contribution to state crime statistics remains minimal across all categories of violent crime. While there have been fluctuations, the overall trend suggests a stable, low-crime environment. The relationship between population density and crime rates, though not definitive, provides an interesting avenue for further study in small urban settings like Cabool.
