Robbery occurrences were infrequent, with a maximum of two incidents reported in 2014, accounting for 0.03% of the state's total robberies. This translated to a rate of 0.59 robberies per 1,000 people. In 2013, there was one robbery (0.01% of state total), while other years saw no reported robberies.

Aggravated assault rates fluctuated over the years, peaking at three incidents in 2014 (0.01% of state total), which equated to 0.89 assaults per 1,000 people. The years 2012 and 2015 each saw two aggravated assaults (0.01% of state total), while 2010, 2011, and 2016 had one incident each. Notably, there were no reported aggravated assaults from 2018 to 2019, with one case resurfacing in 2020.

When examining correlations, a notable relationship emerges between population density and violent crime rates. As the population density increased from 909 per square mile in 2010 to 1,150 per square mile in 2020, there was a general upward trend in violent crime incidents, particularly evident in the peak year of 2014. However, this correlation weakened in later years as crime rates declined despite continued population growth.

Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) suggests a potential stabilization or slight decrease in overall violent crime rates. This projection is based on the recent downward trend observed from 2015 to 2020, coupled with the city's steady population growth and increasing population density.

In summary, Burns has experienced volatile but generally low levels of violent crime over the past decade. The sporadic nature of serious offenses like murder and rape in such a small community highlights the significant impact that even a single incident can have on crime statistics. As the city continues to grow, maintaining vigilance and community-based crime prevention strategies will be crucial in ensuring public safety and preserving the relatively low crime rates observed in recent years.