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Violent Crime Trends in Burnet, Texas: A City with Decreasing Crime Rates Amid Population Growth
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Burnet, located in Texas, has experienced notable fluctuations in violent crime rates over the past decade, alongside steady population growth. From 2010 to 2022, the total number of violent crimes increased by 43.75%, from 16 to 23 incidents. During this same period, the population grew by 18.02%, from 13,150 to 15,519 residents.
Murder trends in the city have remained relatively stable, with most years reporting zero incidents. The only exceptions were in 2014 and 2022, when one murder was reported in each year. This translates to a murder rate of 0.07 per 1,000 people in 2014 and 0.06 per 1,000 in 2022. The percentage of state murders attributed to the city rose from 0% in most years to 0.11% in 2014 and 0.06% in 2022. While these figures represent an increase, the rarity of such events in a small city means these changes should be interpreted cautiously.
Rape incidents have shown more variability. The number of reported rapes increased from 1 in 2010 to 2 in 2022, with a peak of 6 cases in 2014, 2015, and 2020. The rape rate per 1,000 people fluctuated accordingly, from 0.08 in 2010 to 0.13 in 2022, with a high of 0.44 in 2014 and 2015. The city's contribution to state rape cases varied, peaking at 0.07% in 2014 and settling at 0.02% in 2022. This trend suggests a need for continued vigilance and support services for survivors.
Robbery incidents have remained low but inconsistent. The city reported zero robberies in 2010, 2018, 2020, and 2022, with a peak of 3 cases in 2012, 2019, and 2021. The robbery rate per 1,000 people reached its highest at 0.22 in 2012 and 0.21 in 2021. The city's share of state robberies never exceeded 0.02%, indicating that robbery is not a significant concern relative to state levels.
Aggravated assault has been the most prevalent violent crime in the city. The number of cases increased from 15 in 2010 to 20 in 2022, with a peak of 31 in 2014. The aggravated assault rate per 1,000 people rose from 1.14 in 2010 to 1.29 in 2022, peaking at 2.27 in 2014. The city's contribution to state aggravated assaults has remained relatively stable, ranging from 0.02% to 0.06% over the years. This trend suggests that while aggravated assault remains a concern, its prevalence relative to the state has not significantly changed.
Examining correlations, there appears to be a moderate positive relationship between population growth and the number of violent crimes. As the population increased by 18.02% from 2010 to 2022, the total number of violent crimes rose by 43.75%. However, this correlation is not consistent across all types of violent crime, with some categories showing more stability despite population growth.
Applying predictive models based on historical data, we can forecast that by 2029 (five years from now), Burnet may see a slight increase in overall violent crime rates if current trends continue. The total number of violent crimes could potentially reach 25-30 incidents annually. However, given the city's small size and the variability in past data, these predictions should be viewed as rough estimates rather than definitive forecasts.
In summary, Burnet has experienced a moderate increase in violent crime over the past decade, primarily driven by fluctuations in aggravated assaults. While the overall crime rate has grown faster than the population, the city's contribution to state crime figures remains relatively low. The most significant findings are the persistent challenge of aggravated assaults and the sporadic nature of other violent crimes in this small Texas community. These trends underscore the importance of targeted crime prevention strategies and community-based interventions to maintain and improve public safety in Burnet.
