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Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Bunnell, located in Florida, presents an interesting case study for violent crime trends over the past decade. From 2010 to 2020, the total number of violent crimes in the city fluctuated significantly, starting at 48 in 2010 and ending at 30 in 2020, representing a 37.5% decrease. During this same period, the population grew from 12,156 to 14,260, an increase of 17.3%.
Examining murder trends, Bunnell experienced only two reported murders over the entire period, one in 2015 and another in 2017. This translates to a murder rate of 0.076 per 1,000 people in 2015 and 0.079 per 1,000 in 2017. In both years, these incidents represented 0.16% of Florida's total murders. Given the rarity of these events, it's challenging to discern a meaningful trend, but it's worth noting that the city maintained a very low murder rate throughout the decade.
Rape incidents in the city remained consistently low, ranging from 0 to 4 cases per year. The highest number of rapes (4) occurred in 2011, representing a rate of 0.32 per 1,000 people and 0.15% of the state's total rapes that year. By 2020, there were 3 reported rapes, a rate of 0.21 per 1,000 people, accounting for 0.08% of Florida's rapes. While the absolute numbers are small, there was a slight upward trend in the latter years of the decade.
Robbery trends showed a general decline over the period. In 2010, there were 6 robberies (0.49 per 1,000 people), representing 0.04% of the state's total. This peaked in 2013 with 11 robberies (0.80 per 1,000 people), accounting for 0.07% of Florida's robberies. By 2020, robberies had decreased to 3 (0.21 per 1,000 people), maintaining 0.03% of the state's total. This downward trend suggests improving safety conditions in the city regarding robbery.
Aggravated assault, the most common violent crime in Bunnell, showed significant fluctuations. In 2010, there were 41 cases (3.37 per 1,000 people), representing 0.11% of Florida's total. The highest number was recorded in 2011 and 2013, with 51 cases each. By 2020, this had decreased to 24 cases (1.68 per 1,000 people), accounting for 0.07% of the state's total. Despite fluctuations, there's a general downward trend in aggravated assaults over the decade.
Examining correlations, there appears to be a moderate inverse relationship between population density and violent crime rates. As the population density increased from 87 per square mile in 2010 to 102 in 2020, the overall violent crime rate tended to decrease. This suggests that the growth in population did not lead to an increase in violent crime, possibly due to improved community cohesion or law enforcement strategies.
Racial demographics show a slight correlation with crime trends. As the white population percentage increased from 78% in 2013 to 80% in 2020, there was a general decrease in violent crimes. However, this correlation is not strong enough to draw definitive conclusions without considering other factors.
Applying predictive models based on the observed trends, we can forecast that by 2029 (five years from now), Bunnell may see a further reduction in violent crimes. The total number of violent crimes could potentially decrease to around 25-28 annually, with aggravated assaults likely remaining the most common type but potentially dropping to 20-22 cases per year. Robberies might stabilize at 2-3 per year, while rape incidents could fluctuate between 1-3 annually. Murder rates are expected to remain very low, with years potentially passing without any incidents.
In summary, Bunnell has shown a generally positive trend in reducing violent crime over the past decade, despite population growth. The most significant improvements have been in reducing aggravated assaults and robberies. While challenges remain, particularly with occasional spikes in certain crime categories, the overall trajectory suggests a safer community. These trends, if continued, could position Bunnell as an example of effective crime reduction in the context of urban growth in Florida.